Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35965463›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2022

Compositional modelling of immune response and virus transmission dynamics.

W Waites, M Cavaliere, V Danos, R Datta, R M Eggo, T B Hallett, D Manheim, J Panovska-Griffiths, T W Russell, V I Zarnitsyna

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Quantification of heterogeneity in human CD8Frontiers in immunology · 2024
    Article
  3. Review
  4. The Royal Society RAMP modelling initiative.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
  5. Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
  6. Visualization for epidemiological modelling: challenges, solutions, reflections and recommendations.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
  7. Modelling herd immunity requirements in Queensland: impact of vaccination effectiveness, hesitancy and variants of SARS-CoV-2.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

W WaitesDepartment of Computer and Information Sciences, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7759-6805
M CavaliereDepartment of Computing and Mathematics, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.
V DanosDépartement d'Informatique, École Normale Supérieure, Paris, France.
R DattaDatta Enterprises LLC, San Francisco, CA, USA.
R M EggoDepartment of Computer and Information Sciences, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0362-6717
T B HallettMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London, London, UK.
D ManheimTechnion, Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.
J Panovska-GriffithsThe Big Data Institute and the Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7720-1121
T W RussellDepartment of Computer and Information Sciences, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5610-6080
V I ZarnitsynaDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3096-3695

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1Medical Research Council MR/V027956/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Transmission models for infectious diseases are typically formulated in terms of dynamics between individuals or groups with processes such as disease progression or recovery for each individual captured phenomenologically, without reference to underlying biological processes. Furthermore, the construction of these models is often monolithic: they do not allow one to readily modify the processes involved or include the new ones, or to combine models at different scales. We show how to construct a simple model of immune response to a respiratory virus and a model of transmission using an easily modifiable set of rules allowing further refining and merging the two models together. The immune response model reproduces the expected response curve of PCR testing for COVID-19 and implies a long-tailed distribution of infectiousness reflective of individual heterogeneity. This immune response model, when combined with a transmission model, reproduces the previously reported shift in the population distribution of viral loads along an epidemic trajectory. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 TestingHumansImmunityCOVID-19epidemicsimmune responsemulti-scale modellingprocess calculi

Identifiers

PMID35965463
PMCPMC9376723

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.