Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35965462›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2022

Reformulating the susceptible-infectious-removed model in terms of the number of detected cases: well-posedness of the observational model.

Eduard Campillo-Funollet, Hayley Wragg, James Van Yperen, Duc-Lam Duong, Anotida Madzvamuse

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Eduard Campillo-FunolletDepartment of Statistical Methodology and Applications, School of Mathematics, Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Kent, Canterbury, Kent CT2 7PE, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7021-1610
Hayley WraggDepartment of Engineering Mathematics, School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering and Engineering Maths, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1TW, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5426-8932
James Van YperenDepartment of Mathematics, School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Sussex, Brighton, East Sussex BN1 9QH, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0513-1494
Duc-Lam DuongDepartment of Mathematics, School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Sussex, Brighton, East Sussex BN1 9QH, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3139-7309
Anotida MadzvamuseDepartment of Mathematics, School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Sussex, Brighton, East Sussex BN1 9QH, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9511-8903

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Compartmental models are popular in the mathematics of epidemiology for their simplicity and wide range of applications. Although they are typically solved as initial value problems for a system of ordinary differential equations, the observed data are typically akin to a boundary value-type problem: we observe some of the dependent variables at given times, but we do not know the initial conditions. In this paper, we reformulate the classical susceptible-infectious-recovered system in terms of the number of detected positive infected cases at different times to yield what we term the observational model. We then prove the existence and uniqueness of a solution to the boundary value problem associated with the observational model and present a numerical algorithm to approximate the solution. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.

Indexed as

Epidemiological ModelsAlgorithmsMathematicsepidemiologyexistenceobservational modelsusceptible–infectious–recovereduniqueness

Identifiers

PMID35965462
PMCPMC9376718

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.