Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35961349›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2022

The COVID-19 pandemic and disruptions to essential health services in Kenya: a retrospective time-series analysis.

Helen Kiarie, Marleen Temmerman, Mutono Nyamai, Nzisa Liku, Wangari Thuo, Violet Oramisi, Lilly Nyaga, Janette Karimi, Phidelis Wamalwa, Gladwell Gatheca and 4 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
7.2field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 72 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Implementation evaluation of the COVID-19 vaccination: Speed, equity and mortality trends.African journal of primary health care & family medicine · 2026
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  12. Participation of miRNA-23a-3p in Pulmonary Tuberculosis Through Macrophages via the JAK-STAT Pathway.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Helen KiarieDivision of Monitoring and Evaluation, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Marleen TemmermanCentre of Excellence in Women and Child Health, Aga Khan University, Nairobi, Kenya.
Mutono NyamaiCentre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya; Paul G Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.
Nzisa LikuDivision of Monitoring and Evaluation, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya; Paul G Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.
Wangari ThuoCentre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya.
Violet OramisiNational AIDS and STIs Control Programme, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Lilly NyagaDivision of Monitoring and Evaluation, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Janette KarimiDivision of Monitoring and Evaluation, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Phidelis WamalwaOptions Consultancy Services, London, UK.
Gladwell GathecaDivision of Monitoring and Evaluation, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Valerian MwendaDivision of Monitoring and Evaluation, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Loice Achieng OmbajoCentre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya; Department of Clinical Medicine and Therapeutics, College of Health Sciences, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya.
S M ThumbiCentre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya; Institute of Tropical and Infectious Diseases, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya; Paul G Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA; Institute of Immunology and Infection Research, School of Biological Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. Electronic address: thumbi.mwangi@wsu.edu.
Essential Health Services Data Monitoring and Evaluation sub-working group
Ministry of Health · KEUniversity of Nairobi · KEAga Khan University Nairobi · KEUniversity of Edinburgh · GBWashington State University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPublic health emergencies can disrupt the provision of and access to essential health-care services, exacerbating health crises. We aimed to assess the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on essential health-care services in Kenya.

methodsUsing county-level data routinely collected from the health information system from health facilities across the country, we used a robust mixed-effect model to examine changes in 17 indicators of essential health services across four periods: the pre-pandemic period (from January, 2018 to February, 2020), two pandemic periods (from March to November 2020, and February to October, 2021), and the period during the COVID-19-associated health-care workers' strike (from December, 2020 to January, 2021).

findingsIn the pre-pandemic period, we observed a positive trend for multiple indicators. The onset of the pandemic was associated with statistically significant decreases in multiple indicators, including outpatient visits (28·7%; 95% CI 16·0-43·5%), cervical cancer screening (49·8%; 20·6-57·9%), number of HIV tests conducted (45·3%; 23·9-63·0%), patients tested for malaria (31·9%; 16·7-46·7%), number of notified tuberculosis cases (26·6%; 14·7-45·1%), hypertension cases (10·4%; 6·0-39·4%), vitamin A supplements (8·7%; 7·9-10·5%), and three doses of the diphtheria, tetanus toxoid, and pertussis vaccine administered (0·9%; 0·5-1·3%). Pneumonia cases reduced by 50·6% (31·3-67·3%), diarrhoea by 39·7% (24·8-62·7%), and children attending welfare clinics by 39·6% (23·5-47·1%). Cases of sexual violence increased by 8·0% (4·3-25·0%). Skilled deliveries, antenatal care, people with HIV infection newly started on antiretroviral therapy, confirmed cases of malaria, and diabetes cases detected were not significantly affected negatively. Although most of the health indicators began to recover during the pandemic, the health-care workers' strike resulted in nearly all indicators falling to numbers lower than those observed at the onset or during the pre-strike pandemic period.

interpretationThe COVID-19 pandemic and the associated health-care workers' strike in Kenya have been associated with a substantial disruption of essential health services, with the use of outpatient visits, screening and diagnostic services, and child immunisation adversely affected. Efforts to maintain the provision of these essential health services during a health-care crisis should target the susceptible services to prevent the exacerbation of associated disease burdens during such health crises.

fundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Indexed as

COVID-19HIV InfectionsMalariaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsChildEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansKenyaMass ScreeningPandemicsPregnancyRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID35961349
PMCPMC9363041
OpenAlexW4291397001

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.