Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35950035›Full record

ArticleBJUI compass2022

Reducing prostate biopsies and magnetic resonance imaging with prostate cancer risk stratification.

Petter Davik, Sebastiaan Remmers, Mattijs Elschot, Monique J Roobol, Tone Frost Bathen, Helena Bertilsson

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BJUI compass, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07422597 (PRORAND - Prostate Risk or Radiology Assessment Non-inferiority Design, a Comparison of Upfront MRI vs Risk Calculator in Men With Suspected Prostate Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07422597 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

PRORAND - Prostate Risk or Radiology Assessment Non-inferiority Design, a Comparison of Upfront MRI vs Risk Calculator in Men With Suspected Prostate Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorNorwegian University of Science and TechnologyRan2026 to 2029Enrolled1,016ConditionsProstate CancerArmsEuropean Study of screening for prostate cancer risk calculator
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Observational
  5. Review
  6. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Petter DavikDepartment of Clinical and Molecular Medicine NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology Trondheim Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-5428
Sebastiaan RemmersDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute University Medical Center Rotterdam Rotterdam The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9530-6448
Mattijs ElschotDepartment of Circulation and Medical Imaging NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology Trondheim Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8056-9103
Monique J RoobolDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute University Medical Center Rotterdam Rotterdam The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6967-1708
Tone Frost BathenDepartment of Circulation and Medical Imaging NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology Trondheim Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8582-6965
Helena BertilssonDepartment of Clinical and Molecular Medicine NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology Trondheim Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives: To recalibrate and validate the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer risk calculators (ERSPC RCs) 3/4 and the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-ERSPC-RCs to a contemporary Norwegian setting to reduce upfront prostate multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) and prostate biopsies. Patients and Methods: We retrospectively identified and entered all men who underwent prostate mpMRI and subsequent prostate biopsy between January 2016 and March 2017 in a Norwegian centre into a database. mpMRI was reported using PI-RADS v2.0 and clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) defined as Gleason ≥ 3 + 4. Probabilities of csPCa and any prostate cancer (PCa) on biopsy were calculated by the ERSPC RCs 3/4 and the MRI-ERSPC-RC and compared with biopsy results. RCs were then recalibrated to account for differences in prevalence between the development and current cohorts (if indicated), and calibration, discrimination and clinical usefulness assessed. Results: Three hundred and three patients were included. The MRI-ERSPC-RCs were perfectly calibrated to our cohort, although the ERSPC RCs 3/4 needed recalibration. Area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) for the ERSPC RCs 3/4 was 0.82 for the discrimination of csPCa and 0.77 for any PCa. The AUC for the MRI-ERSPC-RCs was 0.89 for csPCa and 0.85 for any PCa. Decision curve analysis showed clear net benefit for both the ERSPC RCs 3/4 (>2% risk of csPCa threshold to biopsy) and for the MRI-ERSPC-RCs (>1% risk of csPCa threshold), with a greater net benefit for the MRI-RCs. Using a >10% risk of csPCa or 20% risk of any PCa threshold for the ERSPC RCs 3/4, 15.5% of mpMRIs could be omitted, missing 0.8% of csPCa. Using the MRI-ERSPC-RCs, 23.4% of biopsies could be omitted with the same threshold, missing 0.8% of csPCa. Conclusion: The ERSPC RCs 3/4 and MRI-ERSPC-RCs can considerably reduce both upfront mpMRI and prostate biopsies with little risk of missing csPCa.

Indexed as

biopsyEuropean Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer risk calculators (ERSPC RCs)magnetic resonance imagingMRIprediction modelprostate cancerrisk calculatorrisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID35950035
PMCPMC9349589

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.