Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35948707›Full record

ReviewNature2022

Response of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet to past and future climate change.

Chris R Stokes, Nerilie J Abram, Michael J Bentley, Tamsin L Edwards, Matthew H England, Annie Foppert, Stewart S R Jamieson, Richard S Jones, Matt A King, Jan T M Lenaerts and 6 more

Open access · greenAbstract readHistorical ArticleReview
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in Nature, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
18.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 144 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  6. Review
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  10. Warming of +1.5 °C is too high for polar ice sheets.Communications earth & environment · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 11 institutions in 4 countries.

Chris R StokesDepartment of Geography, Durham University, Durham, UK. c.r.stokes@durham.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3355-1573
Nerilie J AbramResearch School of Earth Sciences, Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1246-2344
Michael J BentleyDepartment of Geography, Durham University, Durham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2048-0019
Tamsin L EdwardsDepartment of Geography, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4760-4704
Matthew H EnglandClimate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9696-2930
Annie FoppertAustralian Antarctic Program Partnership, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.
Stewart S R JamiesonDepartment of Geography, Durham University, Durham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9036-2317
Richard S JonesSchool of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia.
Matt A KingSchool of Geography, Planning, and Spatial Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5611-9498
Jan T M LenaertsDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4309-4011
Brooke MedleyCryospheric Sciences Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9838-3665
Bertie W J MilesDepartment of Geography, Durham University, Durham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3388-4688
Guy J G PaxmanLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.
Catherine RitzInstitut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, Université Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France.
Tina van de FlierdtDepartment of Earth Science and Engineering, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-9755
Pippa L WhitehouseDepartment of Geography, Durham University, Durham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9092-3444
Durham University · GBUniversity of Tasmania · AUAustralian National University · AUGoddard Space Flight Center · USImperial College London · GBInstitut des Géosciences de l'Environnement · FRKing's College London · GBLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory · USMonash University · AUUniversity of Colorado Boulder · USUNSW Sydney · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The East Antarctic Ice Sheet contains the vast majority of Earth's glacier ice (about 52 metres sea-level equivalent), but is often viewed as less vulnerable to global warming than the West Antarctic or Greenland ice sheets. However, some regions of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet have lost mass over recent decades, prompting the need to re-evaluate its sensitivity to climate change. Here we review the response of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet to past warm periods, synthesize current observations of change and evaluate future projections. Some marine-based catchments that underwent notable mass loss during past warm periods are losing mass at present but most projections indicate increased accumulation across the East Antarctic Ice Sheet over the twenty-first century, keeping the ice sheet broadly in balance. Beyond 2100, high-emissions scenarios generate increased ice discharge and potentially several metres of sea-level rise within just a few centuries, but substantial mass loss could be averted if the Paris Agreement to limit warming below 2 degrees Celsius is satisfied.

Indexed as

Climate ModelsGlobal WarmingIce CoverTemperatureAntarctic RegionsForecastingHistory, 21st CenturySea Level Rise

Identifiers

PMID35948707
OpenAlexW4291709928

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.