Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35945965›Full record

ArticleResults in physics2022

Modified SIR model for COVID-19 transmission dynamics: Simulation with case study of UK, US and India.

Pranati Rakshit, Soumen Kumar, Samad Noeiaghdam, Unai Fernandez-Gamiz, Mohamed Altanji, Shyam Sundar Santra

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Results in physics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Pranati RakshitDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, JIS College of Engineering, Kalyani, West Bengal, India.
Soumen KumarAssociate Consultant and Data Scientist in Tata Consultancy Services Ltd., Kolkata, West Bengal, India.
Samad NoeiaghdamIndustrial Mathematics Laboratory, Baikal School of BRICS, Irkutsk National Research Technical University, Irkutsk, 664074, Russia.
Unai Fernandez-GamizNuclear Engineering and Fluid Mechanics Department, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, Nieves Cano 12, 01006 Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain.
Mohamed AltanjiDepartment of Mathematics, College of Science, King Khalid University, Abha 61413, Saudi Arabia.
Shyam Sundar SantraDepartment of Mathematics, JIS College of Engineering, Kalyani, West Bengal 741235, India.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease and has spread over more than 200 countries since its outbreak in December 2019. This pandemic has posed the greatest threat to global public health and seems to have changing characteristics with altering variants, hence various epidemiological and statistical models are getting developed to predict the infection spread, mortality rate and calibrating various impacting factors. But the aysmptomatic patient counts and demographical factors needs to be considered in model evaluation. Here we have proposed a new seven compartmental model, Susceptible- Exposed- Infected-Asymptomatic-Quarantined-Fatal-Recovered (SEIAQFR) which is based on classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model dynamic of infectious disease, and considered factors like asymptomatic transmission and quarantine of patients. We have taken UK, US and India as a case study for model evaluation purpose. In our analysis, it is found that the Reproductive Rate (

Indexed as

AsymptomaticCOVID-19PredictionR-Square scoreSIR model

Identifiers

PMID35945965
PMCPMC9353108

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.