Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35945197›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

A strategy to assess spillover risk of bat SARS-related coronaviruses in Southeast Asia.

Cecilia A Sánchez, Hongying Li, Kendra L Phelps, Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio, Lin-Fa Wang, Peng Zhou, Zheng-Li Shi, Kevin J Olival, Peter Daszak

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 68 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
68citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

68 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Reassessing Early COVID-19 Strategies in East Asia: Insights From Japan and Korea.Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi · 2026
    Review
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  13. Broad beta-CoV immunity and transmission blockade by a single-dose live-attenuated vaccine with atypical codon usage.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  14. Strengthening preparedness and response to emerging henipavirus diversity.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
    Review
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  18. Article
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8 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Cecilia A SánchezEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1141-6816
Hongying LiEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5089-1134
Kendra L PhelpsEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3120-4802
Carlos Zambrana-TorrelioDepartment of Environmental Science and Policy, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5614-7496
Lin-Fa WangProgramme in Emerging Infectious Diseases, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0003-2752-0535
Peng ZhouWuhan Institute of Virology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, China.
Zheng-Li ShiWuhan Institute of Virology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8089-163X
Kevin J OlivalEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3211-1875
Peter DaszakEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY, USA. daszak@ecohealthalliance.org.ORCID 0000-0002-2046-5695

Funding

Understanding Risk of Zoonotic Virus Emergence in EID Hotspots of Southeast AsiaU01AI151797 · NIAID · ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE, INC. · PI DASZAK, PETER · 2020 to 2023
$6.0M
Understanding the Risk of Bat Coronavirus EmergenceR01AI110964 · NIAID · ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE, INC. · PI DASZAK, PETER · 2014 to 2023
$4.3M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI110964NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI151797
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Emerging diseases caused by coronaviruses of likely bat origin (e.g., SARS, MERS, SADS, COVID-19) have disrupted global health and economies for two decades. Evidence suggests that some bat SARS-related coronaviruses (SARSr-CoVs) could infect people directly, and that their spillover is more frequent than previously recognized. Each zoonotic spillover of a novel virus represents an opportunity for evolutionary adaptation and further spread; therefore, quantifying the extent of this spillover may help target prevention programs. We derive current range distributions for known bat SARSr-CoV hosts and quantify their overlap with human populations. We then use probabilistic risk assessment and data on human-bat contact, human viral seroprevalence, and antibody duration to estimate that a median of 66,280 people (95% CI: 65,351-67,131) are infected with SARSr-CoVs annually in Southeast Asia. These data on the geography and scale of spillover can be used to target surveillance and prevention programs for potential future bat-CoV emergence.

Indexed as

ChiropteraCOVID-19Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirusAnimalsAsia, SoutheasternEvolution, MolecularHumansPhylogenySeroepidemiologic Studies

Identifiers

PMID35945197
PMCPMC9363439

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.