Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35943669›Full record

SynthesisEuropean journal of epidemiology2022

Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized trials of hydroxychloroquine for the prevention of COVID-19.

Xabier García-Albéniz, Julia Del Amo, Rosa Polo, José Miguel Morales-Asencio, Miguel A Hernán

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European journal of epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Daily tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/emtricitabine and hydroxychloroquine for pre-exposure prophylaxis of COVID-19: a double-blind placebo-controlled randomized trial in healthcare workers.Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases · 2023
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  17. Hydroxychloroquine as a primary prophylactic agent against SARS-CoV-2 infection: A cohort study.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2021
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  18. COVID-19 chemoprevention.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2021
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  19. The Rise and Fall of Hydroxychloroquine for the Treatment and Prevention of COVID-19.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Xabier García-AlbénizRTI Health Solutions, Av. Diagonal, 605, 9-1, 08028, Barcelona, Spain. xgarcia@rti.org.
Julia Del AmoDivision for HIV, STI, Viral Hepatitis and TB Control. Ministry of Health, Madrid, Spain.
Rosa PoloDivision for HIV, STI, Viral Hepatitis and TB Control. Ministry of Health, Madrid, Spain.
José Miguel Morales-AsencioDepartment of Nursing and Podiatry, Instituto de Investigacion Biomedica de Malaga, Universidad de Málaga, Málaga, Spain.
Miguel A HernánCAUSALab. Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Ministry of Health · ESHarvard University · USInstituto de Investigación Biomédica de Málaga · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecruitment into randomized trials of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) for prevention of COVID-19 has been adversely affected by a widespread conviction that HCQ is not effective for prevention. In the absence of an updated systematic review, we conducted a meta-analysis of randomized trials that study the effectiveness of HCQ to prevent COVID-19.

methodsA search of PubMed, medRxiv, and clinicaltrials.gov combined with expert consultation found 11 completed randomized trials: 7 pre-exposure prophylaxis trials and 4 post-exposure prophylaxis trials. We obtained or calculated the risk ratio of COVID-19 diagnosis for assignment to HCQ versus no HCQ (either placebo or usual care) for each trial, and then pooled the risk ratio estimates.

resultsThe pooled risk ratio estimate of the pre-exposure prophylaxis trials was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.58-0.90) when using either a fixed effect or a standard random effects approach, and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.55-0.95) when using a conservative modification of the Hartung-Knapp random effects approach. The corresponding estimates for the post-exposure prophylaxis trials were 0.91 (95% CI: 0.72-1.16) and 0.91 (95% CI: 0.62-1.35). All trials found a similar rate of serious adverse effects in the HCQ and no HCQ groups. DISCUSSION: A benefit of HCQ as prophylaxis for COVID-19 cannot be ruled out based on the available evidence from randomized trials. However, the "not statistically significant" findings from early prophylaxis trials were widely interpreted as definite evidence of lack of effectiveness of HCQ. This interpretation disrupted the timely completion of the remaining trials and thus the generation of precise estimates for pandemic management before the development of vaccines.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 Drug TreatmentHydroxychloroquineCOVID-19 TestingHumansRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicSARS-CoV-2Hydroxychloroquine

Identifiers

PMID35943669
PMCPMC9360718
OpenAlexW4291019807

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.