Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35943628›Full record

Trial reportSurgery today2023

Using machine learning models to predict acute pancreatitis in children with pancreaticobiliary maljunction.

Xiao Han, Jia Geng, Xin-Xian Zhang, Lian Zhao, Jian Wang, Wan-Liang Guo

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Trial report in Surgery today, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Xiao Han *Department of Radiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, 215025, China.
Jia Geng *Clinical Laboratory, 3rd Hospital of Yulin, Yulin, 719000, China.
Xin-Xian ZhangDepartment of Radiology, Xuzhou Children's Hospital, Xuzhou, 221002, China.
Lian ZhaoDepartment of Radiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, 215025, China.
Jian WangPediatric Surgery, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, 215025, China.
Wan-Liang GuoDepartment of Radiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, 215025, China. gwlsuzhou@163.com.
Soochow University · CNXuzhou Children Hospital · CNYulin University · CN

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81971685
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo develop a model to identify risk factors and predictors of acute pancreatitis in children with pancreaticobiliary maljunction (PBM).

methodsWe screened consecutive PBM patients treated at two centers between January, 2015 and July, 2021. For machine learning, the cohort was divided randomly at a 6:4 ratio to a training dataset and a validation dataset. Three parallel models were developed using logistic regression (LR), a support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), respectively. Model performance was judged primarily based on the area under the receiver operating curves (AUC).

resultsA total of 99 patients were included in the analysis, 17 of whom suffered acute pancreatitis and 82 did not. The XGBoost (AUC = 0.814) and SVM (AUC = 0.813) models produced similar performance in the validation dataset; both outperformed the LR model (AUC = 0.805). Based on the SHapley Additive exPlanation values, the most important variable in both the XGBoost and SVM models were age, protein plugs, and white blood cell count.

conclusionsMachine learning models, especially XGBoost and SVM, could be used to predict acute pancreatitis in children with PBM. The most important contributing factor to the models were age, protein plugs, and white blood cell count.

Indexed as

Pancreaticobiliary MaljunctionPancreatitisAcute DiseaseChildHumansMachine LearningRisk FactorsAcute pancreatitisMachine learningPancreaticobiliary maljunction

Identifiers

PMID35943628
OpenAlexW4292074770

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.