ArticleJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society)2022
Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?
Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
34 citing papers in PubMed.
- Recommendations for the analysis of leading indicators in epidemic surveillance.PLOS digital health · 2026Review
- From sites to structure to serology: a roadmap for structure-aware molecular evolution of antigenically evolving viruses.Journal of virology · 2026Review
- Real-time estimation of pathogen transmission dynamics from wastewater.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Robust estimation of the time-dependent reproduction number in the presence of weekend reporting effects.BMC global and public health · 2026Article
- A modeling study on the critical sensitivity of epidemic peaks and final size to marginal changes in non-pharmaceutical intervention efficacy.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Nowcasting epidemic trends using hospital- and community-based virologic test data.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Robust uncertainty quantification in popular estimators of the instantaneous reproduction number.American journal of epidemiology · 2025Article
- Incorporating human mobility to enhance epidemic response and estimate real-time reproduction numbers.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- A Bayesian model for repeated cross-sectional epidemic prevalence survey data.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Transmission dynamics of the 2022 mpox epidemic in New York City.Nature medicine · 2025Article
- Simulation-based inference of the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated and under-reported disease incidence time series data.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025Article
- Asymmetric limits on timely interventions from noisy epidemic data.Communications physics · 2025Article
- Estimating the trend of COVID-19 in Norway by combining multiple surveillance indicators.PloS one · 2025Article
- A framework for counterfactual analysis, strategy evaluation, and control of epidemics using reproduction number estimates.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Genomic epidemiology reveals 2022 mpox epidemic in New York City governed by heavy-tailed sexual contact networks.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Global patterns of rebound to normal RSV dynamics following COVID-19 suppression.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Angular reproduction numbers improve estimates of transmissibility when disease generation times are misspecified or time-varying.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Risk averse reproduction numbers improve resurgence detection.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- Heterogeneity is a key factor describing the initial outbreak of COVID-19.Applied mathematical modelling · 2023Article
- Effectiveness assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions: lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic.The Lancet. Public health · 2023Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
statistics, often derived from simplified models of epidemic spread, inform public health policy in real time. The instantaneous reproduction number,
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.