Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35937061›Full record

ReviewFrontiers in neurology2022

Applying the Bradford Hill Criteria for Causation to Repetitive Head Impacts and Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy.

Christopher J Nowinski, Samantha C Bureau, Michael E Buckland, Maurice A Curtis, Daniel H Daneshvar, Richard L M Faull, Lea T Grinberg, Elisa L Hill-Yardin, Helen C Murray, Alan J Pearce and 4 more

Open access · goldAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Frontiers in neurology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 78 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
78citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
25.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

78 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 166 citations in OpenAlex.

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  16. Persistent dysmorphology and dysfunction of the brain microvasculature following repeated trauma.Journal of cerebral blood flow and metabolism : official journal of the International Society of Cerebral Blood Flow and Metabolism · 2026
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18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 10 institutions in 5 countries.

Christopher J NowinskiConcussion Legacy Foundation, Boston, MA, United States.
Samantha C BureauConcussion Legacy Foundation, Boston, MA, United States.
Michael E BucklandDepartment of Neuropathology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Maurice A CurtisDepartment of Anatomy and Medical Imaging and Centre for Brain Research, Faculty of Medical and Health Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Daniel H DaneshvarDepartment of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States.
Richard L M FaullDepartment of Anatomy and Medical Imaging and Centre for Brain Research, Faculty of Medical and Health Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Lea T GrinbergMemory and Aging Center, Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States.
Elisa L Hill-YardinSchool of Health and Biomedical Sciences, STEM College, RMIT University, Bundoora, VIC, Australia.
Helen C MurrayDepartment of Anatomy and Medical Imaging and Centre for Brain Research, Faculty of Medical and Health Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Alan J PearceCollege of Science, Health, and Engineering, La Trobe University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Catherine M SuterDepartment of Neuropathology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Adam J WhiteDepartment of Sport, Health Science, and Social Work, Oxford Brookes University, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Adam M FinkelDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI, United States.
Robert C CantuConcussion Legacy Foundation, Boston, MA, United States.
University of Auckland · NZBoston University · USLa Trobe University · AUMassachusetts General Hospital · USOxford Brookes University · GBRoyal Prince Alfred Hospital · AUUniversity Memory and Aging Center · USUniversity of Melbourne · AUUniversity of Michigan–Ann Arbor · USUniversity of Sydney · AU

Funding

Clinical Features and Neuropathological Basis of Sleep Wake Behavior in Alzheimer's and PSPR01AG060477 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Lea Tenenholz Grinberg, Thomas C Neylan · 2019 to 2026
$8.2M
Neuropathological changes underlying clinical heterogeneity in Alzheimer diseaseK24AG053435 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI GRINBERG, LEA TENENHOLZ · 2016 to 2025
$1.8M
NIA NIH HHS K24 AG053435NIA NIH HHS R01 AG060477
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) is a neurodegenerative disease associated with a history of repetitive head impacts (RHI). CTE was described in boxers as early as the 1920s and by the 1950s it was widely accepted that hits to the head caused some boxers to become "punch drunk." However, the recent discovery of CTE in American and Australian-rules football, soccer, rugby, ice hockey, and other sports has resulted in renewed debate on whether the relationship between RHI and CTE is causal. Identifying the strength of the evidential relationship between CTE and RHI has implications for public health and medico-legal issues. From a public health perspective, environmentally caused diseases can be mitigated or prevented. Medico-legally, millions of children are exposed to RHI through sports participation; this demographic is too young to legally consent to any potential long-term risks associated with this exposure. To better understand the strength of evidence underlying the possible causal relationship between RHI and CTE, we examined the medical literature through the Bradford Hill criteria for causation. The Bradford Hill criteria, first proposed in 1965 by Sir Austin Bradford Hill, provide a framework to determine if one can justifiably move from an observed association to a verdict of causation. The Bradford Hill criteria include nine viewpoints by which to evaluate human epidemiologic evidence to determine if causation can be deduced: strength, consistency, specificity, temporality, biological gradient, plausibility, coherence, experiment, and analogy. We explored the question of causation by evaluating studies on CTE as it relates to RHI exposure. Through this lens, we found convincing evidence of a causal relationship between RHI and CTE, as well as an absence of evidence-based alternative explanations. By organizing the CTE literature through this framework, we hope to advance the global conversation on CTE mitigation efforts.

Indexed as

Bradford Hillcausationchronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE)epidemiologypublic healthpunch drunkrepetitive head impact

Identifiers

PMID35937061
PMCPMC9355594
OpenAlexW4286685254

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.