Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35931986›Full record

ArticleBMC pediatrics2022

A decision tree model for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin resistance and coronary artery involvement in Kawasaki disease.

Jinwoon Joung, Jun Suk Oh, Jung Min Yoon, Kyung Ok Ko, Gyeong Hee Yoo, Eun Jung Cheon

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pediatrics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jinwoon JoungDepartment of Pediatrics, Myunggok Medical Research Center, Konyang University College of Medicine, 158 Gwanjeodong-ro, Seo-gu, Daejeon, 35365, Korea.
Jun Suk OhDepartment of Pediatrics, Myunggok Medical Research Center, Konyang University College of Medicine, 158 Gwanjeodong-ro, Seo-gu, Daejeon, 35365, Korea.
Jung Min YoonDepartment of Pediatrics, Myunggok Medical Research Center, Konyang University College of Medicine, 158 Gwanjeodong-ro, Seo-gu, Daejeon, 35365, Korea.
Kyung Ok KoDepartment of Pediatrics, Myunggok Medical Research Center, Konyang University College of Medicine, 158 Gwanjeodong-ro, Seo-gu, Daejeon, 35365, Korea.
Gyeong Hee YooDepartment of Pediatrics, Soonchunhyang University Cheonan Hospital, Sonnchunhyang 6-gil, Dongnam-gu, Cheonan, 31151, Korea.
Eun Jung CheonDepartment of Pediatrics, Myunggok Medical Research Center, Konyang University College of Medicine, 158 Gwanjeodong-ro, Seo-gu, Daejeon, 35365, Korea. ejcheon000@gmail.com.
Konyang University · KRSoonchunhyang University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aims to develop a new algorithm for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance and coronary artery involvement in Kawasaki disease (KD) through decision tree models.

methodsMedical records of children hospitalized for KD were analysed retrospectively. We compared the clinical characteristics, and the laboratory data in the groups with IVIG resistance and coronary artery dilatations (CADs) in KD patients. The decision tree models were developed to predict IVIG resistance and CADs.

resultsA total 896 patients (511 males and 385 females; 1 month-12 years) were eligible. IVIG resistance was identified in 111 (12.3%) patients, and CADs were found in 156 (17.4%). Total bilirubin and nitrogen terminal- pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were significantly higher in IVIG resistant group than in IVIG responsive group (0.62 ± 0.8 mg/dL vs 1.38 ± 1.4 mg/dL and 1231 ± 2136 pg/mL vs 2425 ± 4459 mL, respectively, P < 0.01). Also, CADs were more developed in the resistant group (39/111; 14.9% vs. 117/785; 35.1%, P < 0.01). The decision tree for predicting IVIG resistance was classified based on total bilirubin (0.7 mg/mL, 1.46 mg/dL) and NT-proBNP (1561 pg/mL), consisting of two layers and four nodes, with 86.2% training accuracy and 90.5% evaluation accuracy. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) evaluated the predictive ability of the decision tree, and the area under the curve (AUC) (0.834; 95% confidence interval, 0.675-0.973; P < 0.05) showed relatively higher accuracy. The group with CADs had significantly higher total bilirubin and NT-proBNP levels than the control group (0.64 ± 0.82 mg/dL vs 1.04 ± 1.14 mg/dL and 1192 ± 2049 pg/mL vs 2268 ± 4136 pg/mL, respectively, P < 0.01). The decision trees for predicting CADs were classified into two nodes based on NT-proBNP (789 pg/mL) alone, with 83.5% training accuracy and 90.3% evaluation accuracy.

conclusionA new algorithm decision tree model presents for predicting IVIG resistance and CADs in KD, confirming the usefulness of NT-proBNP as a predictor of KD.

Indexed as

Coronary Artery DiseaseMucocutaneous Lymph Node SyndromeBilirubinChildCoronary VesselsDecision TreesFemaleHumansImmunoglobulins, IntravenousInfantMaleRetrospective StudiesBilirubinImmunoglobulins, IntravenousCoronary artery dilatationDecision tree modelIVIG resistanceKawasaki disease

Identifiers

PMID35931986
PMCPMC9354345
OpenAlexW4289939975

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.