Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35931971›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2022

SARS-CoV-2 viral load is associated with risk of transmission to household and community contacts.

Darlene Bhavnani, Emily R James, Kaitlyn E Johnson, Sylvie Beaudenon-Huibregtse, Patrick Chang, Paul J Rathouz, Minda Weldon, Andreas Matouschek, Amy E Young

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

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  9. Author's response: Viral load decline time offers theoretical insight rather than practical value.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Inferring transmission risk of respiratory viral infection from the viral load kinetics of SARS-CoV-2, England, 2020 to 2021 and influenza A virus, Hong Kong, 2008 to 2012.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
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  16. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Darlene BhavnaniDepartment of Population Health, Dell Medical School, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, USA. Darlene.Bhavnani@Austin.utexas.edu.
Emily R JamesUT Health Austin, Dell Medical School, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, USA.
Kaitlyn E JohnsonDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, USA.
Sylvie Beaudenon-HuibregtseHigh Throughput Testing Core, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, USA.
Patrick ChangDepartment of Population Health, Dell Medical School, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, USA.
Paul J RathouzDepartment of Population Health, Dell Medical School, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, USA.
Minda WeldonEpidemiology and Disease Surveillance Unit, Austin Public Health, Austin, USA.
Andreas MatouschekDepartment of Molecular Biosciences, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, USA.
Amy E YoungUT Health Austin, Dell Medical School, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, USA.

Funding

Accelerating viral outbreak detection in US cities using mechanistic models, machine learning and diverse geospatial dataR01AI151176 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P, MEYERS, LAUREN ANCEL · 2020 to 2024
$3.9M
CDC HHS U01IP001136NCIRD CDC HHS U01 IP001136NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI151176NIH HHS R01 AI151176
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFactors that lead to successful SARS-CoV-2 transmission are still not well described. We investigated the association between a case's viral load and the risk of transmission to contacts in the context of other exposure-related factors.

methodsData were generated through routine testing and contact tracing at a large university. Case viral loads were obtained from cycle threshold values associated with a positive polymerase chain reaction test result from October 1, 2020 to April 15, 2021. Cases were included if they had at least one contact who tested 3-14 days after the exposure. Case-contact pairs were formed by linking index cases with contacts. Chi-square tests were used to evaluate differences in proportions of contacts testing positive. Generalized estimating equation models with a log link were used to evaluate whether viral load and other exposure-related factors were associated with a contact testing positive.

resultsMedian viral load among the 212 cases included in the study was 5.6 (1.8-10.4) log

conclusionsFurther research is needed to understand whether these relationships persist for newer variants. For those variants whose transmission advantage is mediated through a high viral load, public health measures could be scaled accordingly. Index cases with higher viral loads could be prioritized for contact tracing and recommendations to quarantine contacts could be made according to the likelihood of transmission based on risk factors such as viral load.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2Contact TracingHumansQuarantineViral LoadContactCOVID-19ExposureTracingTransmissionViral load

Identifiers

PMID35931971
PMCPMC9354300

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.