Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35927066›Full record

ArticleEndocrinology and metabolism (Seoul, Korea)2022

Development of a Spine X-Ray-Based Fracture Prediction Model Using a Deep Learning Algorithm.

Sung Hye Kong, Jae-Won Lee, Byeong Uk Bae, Jin Kyeong Sung, Kyu Hwan Jung, Jung Hee Kim, Chan Soo Shin

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Endocrinology and metabolism (Seoul, Korea), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 56 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  13. Development and reporting of artificial intelligence in osteoporosis management.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2024
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  17. Deep learning in the radiologic diagnosis of osteoporosis: a literature review.The Journal of international medical research · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Sung Hye KongDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.
Jae-Won LeeVUNO Inc., Seoul, Korea.
Byeong Uk BaeVUNO Inc., Seoul, Korea.
Jin Kyeong SungVUNO Inc., Seoul, Korea.
Kyu Hwan JungVUNO Inc., Seoul, Korea.
Jung Hee KimDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Chan Soo ShinDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Seoul National University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgruoundSince image-based fracture prediction models using deep learning are lacking, we aimed to develop an X-ray-based fracture prediction model using deep learning with longitudinal data.

methodsThis study included 1,595 participants aged 50 to 75 years with at least two lumbosacral radiographs without baseline fractures from 2010 to 2015 at Seoul National University Hospital. Positive and negative cases were defined according to whether vertebral fractures developed during follow-up. The cases were divided into training (n=1,416) and test (n=179) sets. A convolutional neural network (CNN)-based prediction algorithm, DeepSurv, was trained with images and baseline clinical information (age, sex, body mass index, glucocorticoid use, and secondary osteoporosis). The concordance index (C-index) was used to compare performance between DeepSurv and the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) and Cox proportional hazard (CoxPH) models.

resultsOf the total participants, 1,188 (74.4%) were women, and the mean age was 60.5 years. During a mean follow-up period of 40.7 months, vertebral fractures occurred in 7.5% (120/1,595) of participants. In the test set, when DeepSurv learned with images and clinical features, it showed higher performance than FRAX and CoxPH in terms of C-index values (DeepSurv, 0.612; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.571 to 0.653; FRAX, 0.547; CoxPH, 0.594; 95% CI, 0.552 to 0.555). Notably, the DeepSurv method without clinical features had a higher C-index (0.614; 95% CI, 0.572 to 0.656) than that of FRAX in women.

conclusionDeepSurv, a CNN-based prediction algorithm using baseline image and clinical information, outperformed the FRAX and CoxPH models in predicting osteoporotic fracture from spine radiographs in a longitudinal cohort.

Indexed as

Deep LearningOsteoporotic FracturesSpinal FracturesAlgorithmsBone DensityFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedX-RaysDeep learningOsteoporotic fracturesRisk assessmentX-rays

Identifiers

PMID35927066
PMCPMC9449110
OpenAlexW4289973981

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.