Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35916373›Full record

ArticleeLife2022

Genomic epidemiology of the first two waves of SARS-CoV-2 in Canada.

Angela McLaughlin, Vincent Montoya, Rachel L Miller, Gideon J Mordecai, Canadian COVID-19 Genomics Network (CanCOGen) Consortium, Michael Worobey, Art F Y Poon, Jeffrey B Joy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. Mathematical modelling for pandemic preparedness in Canada: Learning from COVID-19.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Angela McLaughlinBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5606-9080
Vincent MontoyaBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, Canada.
Rachel L MillerBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, Canada.
Gideon J MordecaiDepartment of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.
Canadian COVID-19 Genomics Network (CanCOGen) Consortium
Michael WorobeyDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, University of Arizona, Tucson, United States.
Art F Y PoonDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Western University, London, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-3779-154X
Jeffrey B JoyBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-7013-1482

Funding

CIHR PJT-15617
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tracking the emergence and spread of SARS-CoV-2 lineages using phylogenetics has proven critical to inform the timing and stringency of COVID-19 public health interventions. We investigated the effectiveness of international travel restrictions at reducing SARS-CoV-2 importations and transmission in Canada in the first two waves of 2020 and early 2021. Maximum likelihood phylogenetic trees were used to infer viruses' geographic origins, enabling identification of 2263 (95% confidence interval: 2159-2366) introductions, including 680 (658-703) Canadian sublineages, which are international introductions resulting in sampled Canadian descendants, and 1582 (1501-1663) singletons, introductions with no sampled descendants. Of the sublineages seeded during the first wave, 49% (46-52%) originated from the USA and were primarily introduced into Quebec (39%) and Ontario (36%), while in the second wave, the USA was still the predominant source (43%), alongside a larger contribution from India (16%) and the UK (7%). Following implementation of restrictions on the entry of foreign nationals on 21 March 2020, importations declined from 58.5 (50.4-66.5) sublineages per week to 10.3-fold (8.3-15.0) lower within 4 weeks. Despite the drastic reduction in viral importations following travel restrictions, newly seeded sublineages in summer and fall 2020 contributed to the persistence of COVID-19 cases in the second wave, highlighting the importance of sustained interventions to reduce transmission. Importations rebounded further in November, bringing newly emergent variants of concern (VOCs). By the end of February 2021, there had been an estimated 30 (19-41) B.1.1.7 sublineages imported into Canada, which increasingly displaced previously circulating sublineages by the end of the second wave.Although viral importations are nearly inevitable when global prevalence is high, with fewer importations there are fewer opportunities for novel variants to spark outbreaks or outcompete previously circulating lineages.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2GenomicsHumansOntarioPhylogenyCOVID-19epidemiologyevolutionary biologygenomicsglobal healthmolecular epidemiologyphylogeneticspublic healthSARS-CoV-2viruses

Identifiers

PMID35916373
PMCPMC9345601

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.