Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35894099›Full record

ArticleClinical trials (London, England)2022

Network methods and design of randomized trials: Application to investigation of COVID-19 vaccination boosters.

Victor DeGruttola, Ravi Goyal, Natasha K Martin, Rui Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical trials (London, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
    Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Victor DeGruttolaDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2772-6242
Ravi GoyalDivision of Infectious Diseases & Global Public Health, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego La Jolla, CA, USA.
Natasha K MartinDivision of Infectious Diseases & Global Public Health, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego La Jolla, CA, USA.
Rui WangDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.

Funding

VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SUSAN JANET LITTLE · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Primary Infection Resource Consortium (PIRC)R24AI106039 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LITTLE, SUSAN JANET · 2013 to 2021
$23.1M
Bridging Statistical Inference and Mechanistic Network Models for HIV/AIDSR01AI138901 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Ravi Goyal, Jukka-Pekka Onnela · 2019 to 2026
$3.4M
Methods to Advance the HIV Prevention Research AgendaR37AI051164 · NIAID · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI DEGRUTTOLA, VICTOR GERARD · 2012 to 2019
$3.3M
Optimizing HIV prevention portfolios targeting people who inject drugs using dynamic economic modelingR01AI147490 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MARTIN, NATASHA · 2019 to 2022
$2.3M
Modeling and simulation tools for optimizing design of network-informed clinical trials of combination HIV prevention interventionsR01AI147441 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI GOYAL, RAVI · 2019 to 2022
$2.1M
Network modeling and robust estimation of the intraclass correlation coefficient to inform the design and analysis of cluster randomized trials for infectious diseasesR01AI136947 · NIAID · HARVARD PILGRIM HEALTH CARE, INC. · PI WANG, RUI · 2018 to 2020
$759k
NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI136947NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI138901NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI147441NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI147490NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI106039NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI051164
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Network science methods can be useful in design, monitoring, and analysis of randomized trials for control of spread of infections. Their usefulness arises from the role of statistical network models in molecular epidemiology and in study design. Computational models, such as agent-based models that propagate disease on simulated contact networks, can be used to investigate the properties of different study designs and analysis plans. Particularly valuable is the use of these methods to assess how magnitude and detectability of intervention effects depend on both individual-level and network-level characteristics of the enrolled populations. Such investigation also provides an important approach to assessing consequences of study data being incomplete or measured with error. To address these goals, we consider two statistical network models: exponential random graph models and the more flexible congruence class models. We focus first on an historical use of these methods in design and monitoring of a cluster randomized trial in Botswana to evaluate the effect of combination HIV prevention modalities compared to standard of care on HIV incidence. We then present a framework for the design of a study of booster vaccine effects on infection with, and forward transmission of, SARS-CoV-2 variants. Motivation for the study is driven in part by guidance from the United Kingdom to base approval of booster vaccines with "strain changes" that target variants on results of neutralizing antibody tests and information about safety, but without requiring evidence of clinical efficacy. Using designs informed by our agent-based network models, we show it may be feasible to conduct a trial of novel SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in a single large campus to obtain useful information regarding vaccine efficacy against susceptibility and infectiousness. If needed, the sample size could be increased by extending the study to a small number of campuses. Novel network methods may be useful in developing pragmatic SARS-CoV-2 vaccine trials that can leverage existing infrastructure to reduce costs and hasten the development of results.

Indexed as

COVID-19HIV InfectionsCOVID-19 VaccinesHumansRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicSARS-CoV-2VaccinationCOVID-19 VaccinesCOVID-19network scienceSARS-CoV-2 vaccine

Identifiers

PMID35894099
PMCPMC9378506

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.