Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35892186›Full record

ArticleCanadian journal of psychiatry. Revue canadienne de psychiatrie2023

Individualized Prospective Prediction of Opioid Use Disorder.

Yang S Liu, Lawrence Kiyang, Jake Hayward, Yanbo Zhang, Dan Metes, Mengzhe Wang, Lawrence W Svenson, Fernanda Talarico, Pierre Chue, Xin-Min Li and 3 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Canadian journal of psychiatry. Revue canadienne de psychiatrie, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Yang S LiuDepartment of Psychiatry, 3158University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-0406-8056
Lawrence KiyangAnalytics and Performance Reporting Branch, Ministry of Health, 151965Government of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Jake HaywardDepartment of Emergency Medicine, 3158University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-4919-8946
Yanbo ZhangDepartment of Psychiatry, 3158University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2421-157X
Dan MetesAnalytics and Performance Reporting Branch, Ministry of Health, 151965Government of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Mengzhe WangAnalytics and Performance Reporting Branch, Ministry of Health, 151965Government of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Lawrence W SvensonAnalytics and Performance Reporting Branch, Ministry of Health, 151965Government of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Fernanda TalaricoDepartment of Psychiatry, 3158University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-6114-4233
Pierre ChueDepartment of Psychiatry, 3158University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Xin-Min LiDepartment of Psychiatry, 3158University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Russell GreinerDepartment of Psychiatry, 3158University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Andrew J GreenshawDepartment of Psychiatry, 3158University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Bo CaoDepartment of Psychiatry, 3158University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9338-3271
University of Alberta · CAMinistry of Health · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveOpioid use disorder (OUD) is a chronic relapsing disorder with a problematic pattern of opioid use, affecting nearly 27 million people worldwide. Machine learning (ML)-based prediction of OUD may lead to early detection and intervention. However, most ML prediction studies were not based on representative data sources and prospective validations, limiting their potential to predict future new cases. In the current study, we aimed to develop and

methodWe present an ensemble machine-learning model trained on a cross-linked Canadian administrative health data set from 2014 to 2018 (

resultsWith 6409 OUD cases in 2019 (mean [SD], 45.34 [14.28], 3400 males), our model prospectively predicted OUD cases at a high accuracy (balanced accuracy, 86%, sensitivity, 93%; specificity 79%). In accord with prior findings, the top risk factors for OUD in this model were opioid use indicators and a history of other substance use disorders.

conclusionOur study presents an individualized prospective prediction of OUD cases by applying ML to large administrative health datasets. Such prospective predictions based on ML would be essential for potential future clinical applications in the early detection of OUD.

Indexed as

Analgesics, OpioidOpioid-Related DisordersCanadaHumansMaleRisk FactorsAnalgesics, Opioidadministrative health dataelectronic health recordsmachine learningopioid use disorderprospective validation

Identifiers

PMID35892186
PMCPMC9720482
OpenAlexW4288068826

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.