Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35891462›Full record

ArticleViruses2022

Modeling the Impact of Vaccination on COVID-19 and Its Delta and Omicron Variants.

Jianbo Wang, Yin-Chi Chan, Ruiwu Niu, Eric W M Wong, Michaël Antonie van Wyk

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Viruses, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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  9. Fractal-fractional age-structure study of omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant transmission dynamics.Partial differential equations in applied mathematics : a spin-off of Applied Mathematics Letters · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jianbo WangDepartment of Electrical Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1479-3107
Yin-Chi ChanDepartment of Electrical Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-2405-8472
Ruiwu NiuCollege of Mathematics and Statistics, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518060, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0695-9007
Eric W M WongDepartment of Electrical Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1641-6903
Michaël Antonie van WykDepartment of Electrical Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4519-1475

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Vaccination is an important means to fight against the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and its variants. In this work, we propose a general susceptible-vaccinated-exposed-infected-hospitalized-removed (SVEIHR) model and derive its basic and effective reproduction numbers. We set Hong Kong as an example and calculate conditions of herd immunity for multiple vaccines and disease variants. The model shows how the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong during the second and third waves of the COVID-19 pandemic would have been reduced if vaccination were available then. We then investigate the relationships between various model parameters and the cumulative number of hospitalized COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong for the ancestral, Delta, and Omicron strains. Numerical results demonstrate that the static herd immunity threshold corresponds to one percent of the population requiring hospitalization or isolation at some point in time. We also demonstrate that when the vaccination rate is high, the initial proportion of vaccinated individuals can be lowered while still maintaining the same proportion of cumulative hospitalized/isolated individuals.

Indexed as

COVID-19HumansPandemicsSARS-CoV-2Vaccinationcompartmental modelCOVID-19Delta variantOmicron variantSVEIHR modelvaccination

Identifiers

PMID35891462
PMCPMC9319847

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.