ArticleScientific reports2022
Time trends and projected obesity epidemic in Brazilian adults between 2006 and 2030.
Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 71 citations in OpenAlex.
- Care of patients with obesity in the Emergency Department: a joint position statement from the Brazilian Association of Emergency Medicine (ABRAMEDE) and the Brazilian Association for the Study of Obesity and Metabolic Syndrome (ABESO).Archives of endocrinology and metabolism · 2025Guideline
- Modelling gestational weight gain trajectories and risk of adverse birth outcomes using super imposition by translation and rotation: findings from two Brazilian cohort studies.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2026Article
- Progress toward the 2030 targets of Brazil's Strategic Action Plan for noncommunicable diseases: a time-series and projection analysis of risk factors.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2026Article
- Presenting the Brazilian physical activity during cancer treatment guidelines: adaptations and challenges in a low- and middle-income context.BMC cancer · 2026Article
- Precision nutrition in weight loss and neuroendocrine control of people with obesity: The study protocol of a factorial randomised controlled trial (GenON Programme).Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026Article
- Fifteen-Year Trends in Behavioral Risk Factors and Metabolic Health Conditions for Non-Communicable Diseases: Persistent Race and Gender Inequalities in Brazil.Journal of racial and ethnic health disparities · 2026Article
- Assessing intersectional disparities in obesity among Brazilian adults: a MAIHDA approach.Cadernos de saude publica · 2026Article
- [Generational differences in food consumption among Brazilian adults born between 1928 and 1988].Cadernos de saude publica · 2026Article
- Brazilian Atrial Fibrillation Guidelines - 2025.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2025Article
- Clinical management, economic and quality-of-life impacts among consulting people with obesity in Brazil: results from a real-world survey.Archives of endocrinology and metabolism · 2025Observational
- Association between obesity and the intersection of depression, sex, and race in Brazilian adults: a cross-sectional analysis of population-based survey.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Sex Differences in the Association between Sleep Quality and Excess Weight: Exploring Lifestyle and Health-Related Mediators.Sleep science (Sao Paulo, Brazil) · 2025Article
- Population attributable fractions of modifiable dementia risk factors for cognitive impairment-the ELSA-Brasil cohort study.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2025Article
- Temporal changes in the burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus across the BRICS, 1990-2021: a comprehensive analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Excessive mitochondrial fission and associated extracellular mitochondria mediate cardiac dysfunction in obesity cardiomyopathy.Life sciences · 2025Article
- Six-Month Outcomes of Endoscopic Intragastric Balloon Therapy: A Prospective Single-Center Study.The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology · 2025Article
- Exploring the perceptions of obesity, health habits, stigma, and eating behaviors in Brazil.Diabetology & metabolic syndrome · 2025Article
- Is Income and Racial Residential Segregation Associated with 13-Year Changes in Body Mass Index? A Longitudinal Analysis in the Brazilian Pró-Saúde Cohort Study.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2025Article
- Isotemporal substitution of physical activity patterns and sitting time with obesity indicators among workers in São Paulo.Scientific reports · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
8 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We examined time trends and projected obesity epidemic in Brazilian adults between 2006 and 2030 by sex, race/skin color, educational attainment, and state capitals. Self-reported body weight and height of 730,309 adults (≥ 18 years) from the Vigitel study were collected by telephone interview between 2006 and 2019. A multinomial logistic regression model was used to predict the prevalence of body mass index (BMI) categories as a function of time by 2030. The prevalence of obesity increased from 11.8% in 2006 to 20.3% in 2019. The projected prevalences by 2030 are estimated to be 68.1% for overweight, 29.6% for obesity, and 9.3% for obesity classes II and III. Women, black and other minority ethnicities, middle-aged adults, adults with ≤ 7 years of education, and in Northern and Midwestern capitals are estimated to have higher obesity prevalence by 2030. Our findings indicate a sustained increase in the obesity epidemic in all sociodemographic subgroups and across the country. Obesity may reach three out of 10 adults by 2030.
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