Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35881005›Full record

ArticleScience (New York, N.Y.)2022

The molecular epidemiology of multiple zoonotic origins of SARS-CoV-2.

Jonathan E Pekar, Andrew Magee, Edyth Parker, Niema Moshiri, Katherine Izhikevich, Jennifer L Havens, Karthik Gangavarapu, Lorena Mariana Malpica Serrano, Alexander Crits-Christoph, Nathaniel L Matteson and 19 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science (New York, N.Y.), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 117 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
117citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

117 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  10. Biological causes and impacts of rugged tree landscapes in phylodynamic inference.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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57 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

29 authors.

Jonathan E PekarBioinformatics and Systems Biology Graduate Program, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0977-2886
Andrew MageeDepartment of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7403-5455
Edyth ParkerDepartment of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8312-1446
Niema MoshiriDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2209-8128
Katherine IzhikevichDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.
Jennifer L HavensBioinformatics and Systems Biology Graduate Program, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3095-5900
Karthik GangavarapuDepartment of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5027-3440
Lorena Mariana Malpica SerranoDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4598-7385
Alexander Crits-ChristophW. Harry Feinstone Department of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA.
Nathaniel L MattesonDepartment of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
Mark ZellerDepartment of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
Joshua I LevyDepartment of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7573-7793
Jade C WangNew York City Public Health Laboratory, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, NY 11101, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8855-0925
Scott HughesNew York City Public Health Laboratory, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, NY 11101, USA.
Jungmin LeeDepartment of Microbiology, Institute for Viral Diseases, Biosafety Center, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-7952-2877
Heedo ParkDepartment of Microbiology, Institute for Viral Diseases, Biosafety Center, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-9992-5131
Man-Seong ParkDepartment of Microbiology, Institute for Viral Diseases, Biosafety Center, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-7427-486X
Katherine Ching Zi YanNational Public Health Laboratory, National Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-8203-468X
Raymond Tzer Pin LinNational Public Health Laboratory, National Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0001-6654-026X
Mohd Noor Mat IsaMalaysia Genome and Vaccine Institute, Jalan Bangi, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia.ORCID 0000-0001-6426-9832
Yusuf Muhammad NoorMalaysia Genome and Vaccine Institute, Jalan Bangi, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia.ORCID 0000-0002-8345-6243
Tetyana I VasylyevaDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9736-7022
Robert F GarryDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5683-3250
Edward C HolmesSydney Institute for Infectious Diseases, School of Life and Environmental Sciences and School of Medical Sciences, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-9596-3552
Andrew RambautInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, King's Buildings, Edinburgh EH9 3FL, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4337-3707
Marc A SuchardDepartment of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9818-479X
Kristian G AndersenDepartment of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6431-5982
Michael WorobeyDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3578-1367
Joel O WertheimDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4882-5856

Funding

NIAID Centers of Excellence for Influenza Research and Response: Universal Influenza Vaccine Research Activities75N93021C00015 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI HENSLEY, SCOTT · 2021 to 2025
$50.7M
Specific and Broadly Active Monoclonal Antibody Therapeutics Against The FilovirusesU19AI142790 · NIAID · LA JOLLA INSTITUTE FOR IMMUNOLOGY · PI SAPHIRE, ERICA OLLMANN · 2019 to 2023
$40.0M
Technology CoreU19AI135995 · NIAID · SCRIPPS RESEARCH INSTITUTE, THE · PI Kristian Graugaard Andersen · 2018 to 2026
$32.0M
Scripps Translational Science InstituteUL1TR002550 · NCATS · SCRIPPS RESEARCH INSTITUTE, THE · PI TOPOL, ERIC JEFFREY · 2018 to 2022
$28.9M
West African Emerging Infectious Disease Research Center (WA-EIDRC)U01AI151812 · NIAID · SCRIPPS RESEARCH INSTITUTE, THE · PI ANDERSEN, KRISTIAN GRAUGAARD, GARRY, ROBERT F · 2020 to 2024
$13.2M
San Diego Biomedical Informatics Education & Research (SABER)T15LM011271 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SHAMIM NEMATI · 2012 to 2026
$9.7M
Tulane University COVID Antibody and Immunity Network (TUCAIN) SupplementU54CA260581 · NCI · TULANE UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANA · PI ROBINSON, JAMES E · 2020 to 2024
$9.2M
PATHOGENESIS AND IMMUNOLOGY OF DISEASET32AI007244 · NIAID · SCRIPPS RESEARCH INSTITUTE, THE · PI NEMAZEE, DAVID · 1985 to 2022
$8.8M
Structure-based design of novel Lassa virus glycoproteins for vaccine developmentR01AI132244 · NIAID · TULANE UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANA · PI GARRY, ROBERT F · 2017 to 2021
$6.5M
Preclinical evaluation of a potent Lassa fever immunotherapeutic antibody cocktailR01AI132223 · NIAID · TULANE UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANA · PI GARRY, ROBERT F · 2017 to 2021
$5.7M
Utilize Microbial Metagenomics for Viral Pathogen CharacterizationU54HG007480 · NHGRI · REDEEMER'S UNIVERSITY · PI HAPPI, CHRISTIAN T. · 2017 to 2022
$5.5M
Next-Generation Phylodynamics-targeted Partner Service Models for Combined HIV PreventionR01AI136056 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI BENBOW, NANETTE DIOR, D'AQUILA, RICHARD · 2018 to 2022
$4.0M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002550NCI NIH HHS U54 CA260581NHGRI NIH HHS U54 HG007480NIAID NIH HHS 75N93021C00015NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI132223NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI132244NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI135992NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI136056NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI153044NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007244NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI151812NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI135995NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI142790NLM NIH HHS T15 LM011271Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the circumstances that lead to pandemics is important for their prevention. We analyzed the genomic diversity of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) early in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. We show that SARS-CoV-2 genomic diversity before February 2020 likely comprised only two distinct viral lineages, denoted "A" and "B." Phylodynamic rooting methods, coupled with epidemic simulations, reveal that these lineages were the result of at least two separate cross-species transmission events into humans. The first zoonotic transmission likely involved lineage B viruses around 18 November 2019 (23 October to 8 December), and the separate introduction of lineage A likely occurred within weeks of this event. These findings indicate that it is unlikely that SARS-CoV-2 circulated widely in humans before November 2019 and define the narrow window between when SARS-CoV-2 first jumped into humans and when the first cases of COVID-19 were reported. As with other coronaviruses, SARS-CoV-2 emergence likely resulted from multiple zoonotic events.

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsSARS-CoV-2Viral ZoonosesAnimalsComputer SimulationGenetic VariationGenomicsHumansMolecular EpidemiologyPhylogeny

Identifiers

PMID35881005
PMCPMC9348752

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.