Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35878565›Full record

ArticleNeurobiology of aging2022

Predicting future cognitive decline from non-brain and multimodal brain imaging data in healthy and pathological aging.

Bruno Hebling Vieira, Franziskus Liem, Kamalaker Dadi, Denis A Engemann, Alexandre Gramfort, Pierre Bellec, Richard Cameron Craddock, Jessica S Damoiseaux, Christopher J Steele, Tal Yarkoni and 3 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurobiology of aging, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

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  6. Cross-dataset Evaluation of Dementia Longitudinal Progression Prediction Models.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

Bruno Hebling VieiraMethods of Plasticity Research, Department of Psychology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Neuroscience Center Zurich (ZNZ), University of Zurich & ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. Electronic address: bruno.heblingvieira@uzh.ch.
Franziskus LiemUniversity Research Priority Program "Dynamics of Healthy Aging", University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Kamalaker DadiUniversité Paris-Saclay, Inria, CEA, Palaiseau, France.
Denis A EngemannUniversité Paris-Saclay, Inria, CEA, Palaiseau, France; Department of Neurology, Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain Sciences, Leipzig, Germany.
Alexandre GramfortUniversité Paris-Saclay, Inria, CEA, Palaiseau, France.
Pierre BellecFunctional Neuroimaging Unit, Geriatric Institute, University of Montreal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Richard Cameron CraddockComputational Neuroimaging Lab, Dell Medical School, The University of Texas, Austin, TX, USA.
Jessica S DamoiseauxInstitute of Gerontology and the Department of Psychology, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI, USA.
Christopher J SteeleDepartment of Psychology, Concordia University, Montreal, Canada.
Tal YarkoniDepartment of Psychology, The University of Texas, Austin, TX, USA.
Nicolas LangerMethods of Plasticity Research, Department of Psychology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Neuroscience Center Zurich (ZNZ), University of Zurich & ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; University Research Priority Program "Dynamics of Healthy Aging", University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Daniel S MarguliesCognitive Neuroanatomy Lab, Institut du Cerveau et de la Moelle épinière, Paris, France.
Gaël VaroquauxUniversité Paris-Saclay, Inria, CEA, Palaiseau, France.
Commissariat à l'Énergie Atomique et aux Énergies Alternatives · FRUniversity of Zurich · CHThe University of Texas at Austin · USConcordia University · CAInstitut du Cerveau · FRUniversité de Montréal · CAWayne State University · US

Funding

WU INSTITUTE OF CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCESUL1TR002345 · NCATS · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI William G. Powderly · 2017 to 2026
$97.8M
Smartphone-Based "Burst" Cognitive AssessmentsP01AG003991 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI Tammie Lee Smith Benzinger · 1985 to 2026
$69.5M
WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY ALZHEIMERS DISEASE RESEARCH CENTERP50AG005681 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI MORRIS, JOHN · 1985 to 2019
$52.1M
The natural history of AB accumulation in preclinical ADP01AG026276 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI SCHINDLER, SUZANNE ELIZABETH · 2005 to 2025
$49.5M
Washington University Institute of Clinical and Translational SciencesUL1TR000448 · NCATS · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI EVANOFF, BRADLEY A · 2012 to 2016
$41.4M
Research Education ComponentP30AG066444 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI DAVID M. HOLTZMAN · 2020 to 2026
$28.7M
THE XNAT IMAGING INFORMATICS PLATFORMR01EB009352 · NIBIB · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI Daniel Scott Marcus · 2009 to 2026
$9.3M
DRIVING PERFORMANCE IN PRECLINICAL ALZHEIMER'S DISEASER01AG043434 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI ROE, CATHERINE M · 2012 to 2016
$2.4M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000448NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002345NIA NIH HHS P01 AG003991NIA NIH HHS P01 AG026276NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066444NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005681NIA NIH HHS R01 AG043434NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB009352
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Previous literature has focused on predicting a diagnostic label from structural brain imaging. Since subtle changes in the brain precede a cognitive decline in healthy and pathological aging, our study predicts future decline as a continuous trajectory instead. Here, we tested whether baseline multimodal neuroimaging data improve the prediction of future cognitive decline in healthy and pathological aging. Nonbrain data (demographics, clinical, and neuropsychological scores), structural MRI, and functional connectivity data from OASIS-3 (N = 662; age = 46-96 years) were entered into cross-validated multitarget random forest models to predict future cognitive decline (measured by CDR and MMSE), on average 5.8 years into the future. The analysis was preregistered, and all analysis code is publicly available. Combining non-brain with structural data improved the continuous prediction of future cognitive decline (best test-set performance: R2 = 0.42). Cognitive performance, daily functioning, and subcortical volume drove the performance of our model. Including functional connectivity did not improve predictive accuracy. In the future, the prognosis of age-related cognitive decline may enable earlier and more effective individualized cognitive, pharmacological, and behavioral interventions.

Indexed as

Activities of Daily LivingAgedAged, 80 and overAgingBrainCognitive DysfunctionHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMiddle AgedNeuroimagingBiomarkerCross-validationMachine learningOpen sciencePredictive modeling

Identifiers

PMID35878565
PMCPMC9853405
OpenAlexW4283660257

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.