Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35876359›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgery2023

Polygenic Risk Prediction in Diverticulitis.

Ana C De Roo, Yanhua Chen, Xiaomeng Du, Samuel Handelman, Mary Byrnes, Scott E Regenbogen, Elizabeth K Speliotes, Lillias H Maguire

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgery, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Genetic Risk, Healthy Lifestyle, and Risk Stratification for Diverticulitis.Journal of the American College of Surgeons · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Risk Prediction in Diverticulitis.Clinics in colon and rectal surgery · 2025
    Review
  8. Unmet social needs and diverticulitis: a phenotyping algorithm and cross-sectional analysis.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Ana C De RooDepartment of Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Yanhua ChenDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, MI.
Xiaomeng DuDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, MI.
Samuel HandelmanEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN.
Mary ByrnesDepartment of Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Scott E RegenbogenDepartment of Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Elizabeth K SpeliotesDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, MI.
Lillias H MaguireDepartment of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.ORCID 0000-0002-6041-2416
University of Michigan · USMichigan Medicine · USEli Lilly (United States) · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

Human population based genetic studies to elucidate the biology of NAFLDR01DK107904 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SPELIOTES, ELIZABETH K · 2016 to 2020
$3.4M
Identification and functional impact of NAFLD associated genetic variantsR01DK106621 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SPELIOTES, ELIZABETH K · 2015 to 2019
$3.3M
Integrative Polygenic Genetic Studies of Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseR01DK131787 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SPELIOTES, ELIZABETH K · 2022 to 2025
$2.7M
Genetic Determinants of Outcomes in Diverticular DiseaseK08DK124687 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI MAGUIRE, LILLIAS HOLMES · 2020 to 2024
$841k
Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853NIDDK NIH HHS K08 DK124687NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK106621NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK107904NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK131787
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo derive and validate a polygenic risk score (PRS) to predict the occurrence and severity of diverticulitis and to understand the potential for incorporation of a PRS in current decision-making.

backgroundPRS quantifies genetic variation into a continuous measure of risk. There is a need for improved risk stratification to guide surgical decision-making that could be fulfilled by PRS. It is unknown how surgeons might integrate PRS in decision-making.

methodsWe derived a PRS with 44 single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with diverticular disease in the UK Biobank and validated this score in the Michigan Genomics Initiative (MGI). We performed a discrete choice experiment of practicing colorectal surgeons. Surgeons rated the influence of clinical factors and a hypothetical polygenic risk prediction tool.

resultsAmong 2812 MGI participants with diverticular disease, 1964 were asymptomatic, 574 had mild disease, and 274 had severe disease. PRS was associated with occurrence and severity. Patients in the highest PRS decile were more likely to have diverticulitis [odds ratio (OR)=1.84; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.42-2.38)] and more likely to have severe diverticulitis (OR=1.61; 95% CI, 1.04-2.51) than the bottom 50%. Among 213 surveyed surgeons, extreme disease-specific factors had the largest utility (3 episodes in the last year, +74.4; percutaneous drain, + 69.4). Factors with strongest influence against surgery included 1 lifetime episode (-63.3), outpatient management (-54.9), and patient preference (-39.6). PRS was predicted to have high utility (+71).

conclusionsA PRS derived from a large national biobank was externally validated, and found to be associated with the incidence and severity of diverticulitis. Surgeons have clear guidance at clinical extremes, but demonstrate equipoise in intermediate scenarios. Surgeons are receptive to PRS, which may be most useful in marginal clinical situations. Given the current lack of accurate prognostication in recurrent diverticulitis, PRS may provide a novel approach for improving patient counseling and decision-making.

Indexed as

DiverticulitisGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMichiganRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID35876359
PMCPMC10874245
OpenAlexW4287959132

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.