ArticlePopulation research and policy review2022
The Future of Assisted Reproductive Technology Live Births in the United States.
Article in Population research and policy review, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- The Fallopian tube: Biosensor and dynamic regulator of preimplantation development.PNAS nexus · 2026Review
- Microsimulation reveals that medically assisted reproduction is unlikely to compensate for cohort fertility decline due to increasing maternal ages.Human reproduction (Oxford, England) · 2026Article
- Infertility services in the context of decreasing total fertility rates.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2026Article
- Article
- Characteristics of Births Conceived Through Medically Assisted Reproduction by Parental Structure in Louisiana (2016-2023).Journal of women's health (2002) · 2025Article
- The contribution of medically assisted reproduction to total, age-, and parity-specific fertility in Italy.Human reproduction (Oxford, England) · 2025Article
- Self-Perceived Infertility is Not Always Associated with Having Fewer Children: Evidence from German Panel Data.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2024Article
- Parental sociodemographics of medically assisted reproduction births in the United States: a dyadic population-level study.F&S reports · 2023Article
- The influence of the increasing use of assisted reproduction technologies on the recent growth in fertility in Czechia.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Article
- Projecting the Contribution of Assisted Reproductive Technology to Completed Cohort Fertility.Population research and policy review · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
As postponement of first births continues in the United States, women and couples will likely continue to turn to assisted reproductive technologies (ART) to overcome biological barriers to childbearing. This paper uses stochastic projections to estimate the potential impacts of ART on the US total fertility rate (TFR) overall and across sociodemographic groups using publicly available data. Assuming the trends in ART continue and the TFR remains at the mean estimate, the projection shows the ART TFR will rise from 0.023 accounting for 1.29% of the mean projected TFR in 2020 to 0.048 or 2.64% of the TFR by 2040. However, for the TFR of women over 30, this percentage is estimated at 2.68% in 2020 and 5.60% by 2040. Group-level projections quantify stratification by parity, race, and education assuming trends across these groups continue. Overall, the results show that if current trends continue, growth in demand for ART will likely increase, especially at older maternal ages, even as inequalities by race and social class remain. These projections provide a picture of ART births if inequality in access and outcomes is not addressed and highlight the need for attention to policies that address these disparities.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.