Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35870059›Full record

SynthesisJournal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics2022

Estimation of time to progression and post progression survival using joint modeling of summary level OS and PFS data with an ordinary differential equation model.

Mario Nagase, Sameer Doshi, Sandeep Dutta, Chih-Wei Lin

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Mario NagaseClinical Pharmacology Modeling and Simulation, Amgen, One Amgen Center Drive, Thousand Oaks, CA, 91320-1799, USA.
Sameer DoshiClinical Pharmacology Modeling and Simulation, Amgen, One Amgen Center Drive, Thousand Oaks, CA, 91320-1799, USA.
Sandeep DuttaClinical Pharmacology Modeling and Simulation, Amgen, One Amgen Center Drive, Thousand Oaks, CA, 91320-1799, USA.
Chih-Wei LinClinical Pharmacology Modeling and Simulation, Amgen, One Amgen Center Drive, Thousand Oaks, CA, 91320-1799, USA. clin04@amgen.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

measures such as progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) are commonly reported in literature for oncology trials, while time to progression (TTP) and post progression survival (PPS) are not usually reported. A time-variant transition hazard model was developed using an ordinary differential equation (ODE) model to estimate TTP and PPS from summary level PFS and OS. The model was applied to published data from immune checkpoint inhibitor trials for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in a meta-analysis framework. This model-based method was able to robustly estimate TTP and PPS from summary level OS and PFS data, provided a quantitative approach for understanding the patterns of disease progression across different treatments through the time-variant disease progression rate function, and provided a summary of how different treatments affect TTP and PPS. The proposed method can be generalized to characterize and quantify multiple time-to-event endpoints jointly in oncology trials and improve our understanding of disease prognostics for different treatments.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungLung NeoplasmsDisease-Free SurvivalDisease ProgressionHumansProgression-Free SurvivalImmune checkpoint inhibitorsJoint Modeling of PFS and OSMeta-analysisNon-small cell lung cancerPost progression survivalTime to progression

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.