ArticleGeophysical research letters2022
Rapid Growth of Large Forest Fires Drives the Exponential Response of Annual Forest-Fire Area to Aridity in the Western United States.
Article in Geophysical research letters, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed.
- Faster, bigger, more severe: Extreme wildfire spread sets the stage for forest ecosystem change in western and boreal North America.Science advances · 2026Article
- Heatwaves enable wildfire activity in the western United States.Science advances · 2026Article
- Article
- Climate-driven upward spread of forest fires in European mountain regions.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Algal Blooms in Lakes Increase After Wildfire Smoke Events in the Contiguous United States.Global change biology communications · 2026Article
- Limited tree mortality in unburned areas linked to bark beetle spillover from wildfires.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal Association of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Cases and Deaths With Exposure to Wildfire Particulate Matter in 2020.Open forum infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Chemical Transformations of Infiltrated Wildfire Smoke on Indoor-Relevant Surfaces.Environmental science & technology · 2025Article
- Fire influence on land-water interactions in aridland catchments.Bioscience · 2025Article
- From carbon neutral to carbon negative: a theoretical bioenergy and COJournal of the Royal Society of New Zealand · 2025Article
- Carbon, climate, and natural disturbance: a review of mechanisms, challenges, and tools for understanding forest carbon stability in an uncertain future.Carbon balance and management · 2024Review
- Article
- Carbon emissions from the 2023 Canadian wildfires.Nature · 2024Article
- Efficient First-Order Algorithms for Large-Scale, Non-Smooth Maximum Entropy Models with Application to Wildfire Science.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Increasing frequency and intensity of the most extreme wildfires on Earth.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024Article
- Investigation of Ozone Formation Chemistry during the Salt Lake Regional Smoke, Ozone, and Aerosol Study (SAMOZA).ACS earth & space chemistry · 2023Article
- The contribution of wildfire to PMNature · 2023Article
- Article
- MetaFlux: Meta-learning global carbon fluxes from sparse spatiotemporal observations.Scientific data · 2023Article
- Climate change is narrowing and shifting prescribed fire windows in western United States.Communications earth & environment · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Annual forest area burned (AFAB) in the western United States (US) has increased as a positive exponential function of rising aridity in recent decades. This non-linear response has important implications for AFAB in a changing climate, yet the cause of the exponential AFAB-aridity relationship has not been given rigorous attention. We investigated the exponential AFAB-aridity relationship in western US forests using a new 1984-2019 database of fire events and 2001-2020 satellite-based records of daily fire growth. While forest-fire frequency and duration grow linearly with aridity, the exponential AFAB-aridity relationship results from the exponential growth rates of individual fires. Larger fires generally have more potential for growth due to more extensive firelines. Thus, forces that promote fire growth, such as aridification, have more potent effects on larger fires. As aridity increases linearly, the potential for growth of large fires accelerates, leading to exponential increases in AFAB.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.