Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35865233›Full record

ArticleJournal of advances in modeling earth systems2022

The Impact of Horizontal Resolution on Projected Sea-Level Rise Along US East Continental Shelf With the Community Earth System Model.

Dapeng Li, Ping Chang, Stephen G Yeager, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Frederic S Castruccio, Justin Small, Hong Wang, Qiuying Zhang, Abishek Gopal

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Dapeng LiDepartment of Oceanography Texas A&M University College Station TX USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4645-6532
Ping ChangDepartment of Oceanography Texas A&M University College Station TX USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9085-0759
Stephen G YeagerNational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USA.
Gokhan DanabasogluNational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4676-2732
Frederic S CastruccioNational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8397-7452
Justin SmallNational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USA.
Hong WangLaboratory for Ocean Dynamics and Climate Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology Qingdao China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-8862
Qiuying ZhangDepartment of Oceanography Texas A&M University College Station TX USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8546-6202
Abishek GopalDepartment of Oceanography Texas A&M University College Station TX USA.
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research · USTexas A&M University · USQingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report lists sea-level rise as one of the major future climate challenges. Based on pre-industrial and historical-and-future climate simulations with the Community Earth System Model, we analyze the projected sea-level rise in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean with two sets of simulations at different horizontal resolutions. Compared with observations, the low resolution (LR) model simulated Gulf Stream does not separate from the shore but flows northward along the entire coast, causing large biases in regional dynamic sea level (DSL). The high resolution (HR) model improves the Gulf Stream representation and reduces biases in regional DSL. Under the RCP8.5 future climate scenario, LR projects a DSL trend of 1.5-2 mm/yr along the northeast continental shelf (north of 40° N), which is 2-3 times the trend projected by HR. Along the southeast shelf (south of 35° N), HR projects a DSL trend of 0.5-1 mm/yr while the DSL trend in LR is statistically insignificant. The different spatial patterns of DSL changes are attributable to the different Gulf Stream reductions in response to a weakening Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Due to its poor representation of the Gulf Stream, LR projects larger (smaller) current decreases along the north (south) east continental slope compared to HR. This leads to larger (smaller) trends of DSL rise along the north (south) east shelf in LR than in HR. The results of this study suggest that the better resolved ocean circulations in HR can have significant impacts on regional DSL simulations and projections.

Indexed as

Community Earth System Modelglobal warmingocean circulationregional sea level changes

Identifiers

PMID35865233
PMCPMC9286582
OpenAlexW4224278019

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.