Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35858774›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2022

Prevalence and determinants of atrial fibrillation progression in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation.

Bao-Oanh Nguyen, Vanessa Weberndorfer, Harry Jgm Crijns, Bastiaan Geelhoed, Hugo Ten Cate, Henri Spronk, Abraham Kroon, Ruben De With, Meelad Al-Jazairi, Alexander H Maass and 14 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02726698 (Reappraisal of Atrial Fibrillation), which is not on this map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.2field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02726698 completednot on this map

Reappraisal of Atrial Fibrillation: Interaction Between HyperCoagulability, Electrical Remodeling, and Vascular Destabilisation in the Progression of Atrial Fibrillation - An Observational Exploratory Study on Pathophysiological Mechanisms of AF Progression and on the Role of LinQ/CareLink Guided Patient Tailored Therapy in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity Medical Center GroningenRan2016 to 2024Enrolled750ConditionsAtrial Fibrillation
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Atrial fibrillation burden in clinical practice, research, and technology development: a clinical consensus statement of the European Society of Cardiology Council on Stroke and the European Heart Rhythm Association.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Guideline
  2. Clinical utility of the 4S-AF scheme in predicting progression of atrial fibrillation: data from the RACE V study.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Trial
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Echocardiographic strain imaging and progression of atrial fibrillation in low-risk individuals.International journal of cardiology. Heart & vasculature · 2026
    Article
  6. Observational
  7. Hospital healthcare utilisation in patients with atrial fibrillation: the role of multimorbidity and age.Netherlands heart journal : monthly journal of the Netherlands Society of Cardiology and the Netherlands Heart Foundation · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Observational
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Clinical impact of atrial fibrillation progression in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: A report from the CHART-2 Study.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Observational
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Observational
  19. 2024 European Heart Rhythm Association/Heart Rhythm Society/Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society/Latin American Heart Rhythm Society expert consensus statement on catheter and surgical ablation of atrial fibrillation.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 9 institutions in 1 country.

Bao-Oanh NguyenCardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen Thoraxcentre, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6043-4172
Vanessa WeberndorferCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht Universitair Medisch Centrum+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Harry Jgm CrijnsCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht Universitair Medisch Centrum+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1073-5337
Bastiaan GeelhoedCardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen Thoraxcentre, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Hugo Ten CateCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht Universitair Medisch Centrum+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Henri SpronkCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht Universitair Medisch Centrum+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Abraham KroonCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht Universitair Medisch Centrum+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Ruben De WithCardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen Thoraxcentre, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Meelad Al-JazairiCardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen Thoraxcentre, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Alexander H MaassCardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen Thoraxcentre, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7936-360X
Yuri BlaauwCardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen Thoraxcentre, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2366-3686
Robert G TielemanCardiology, Martini Hospital, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Martin E W HemelsDepartment of Cardiology, Rijnstate Hospital, Arnhem, The Netherlands.
Justin LuermansCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht Universitair Medisch Centrum+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Joris de GrootDepartment of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC Locatie AMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Cornelis P AllaartDepartment of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC Locatie VUmc, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Arif ElvanCardiology, Isala Zwolle, Zwolle, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8436-8635
Mirko De MelisMedtronic Bakken Research Centre, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Coert ScheerderMedtronic Bakken Research Centre, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Anton Jan van ZonneveldDepartment of Internal Medicine (Nephrology) and the Einthoven Laboratory for Experimental Vascular Medicine, Leiden Universitair Medisch Centrum, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Ulrich SchottenCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht Universitair Medisch Centrum+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Dominik LinzCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht Universitair Medisch Centrum+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Isabelle Van GelderCardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen Thoraxcentre, Groningen, The Netherlands i.c.van.gelder@umcg.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7579-1201
Michiel RienstraCardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen Thoraxcentre, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2581-070X
Maastricht University Medical Centre · NLUniversity Medical Center Groningen · NLMedtronic (Netherlands) · NLAmsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · NLAmsterdam University Medical Centers · NLIsala · NLLeiden University Medical Center · NLMartini Ziekenhuis · NLRadboud University Nijmegen · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAtrial fibrillation (AF) often progresses from paroxysmal AF (PAF) to more permanent forms. To improve personalised medicine, we aim to develop a new AF progression risk prediction model in patients with PAF.

methodsIn this interim-analysis of the Reappraisal of AF: Interaction Between HyperCoagulability, Electrical Remodelling, and Vascular Destabilisation in the Progression of AF study, patients with PAF undergoing extensive phenotyping at baseline and continuous rhythm monitoring during follow-up of ≥1 year were analysed. AF progression was defined as (1) progression to persistent or permanent AF or (2) progression of PAF with >3% burden increase. Multivariable analysis was done to identify predictors of AF progression.

resultsMean age was 65 (58-71) years, 179 (43%) were female. Follow-up was 2.2 (1.6-2.8) years, 51 of 417 patients (5.5%/year) showed AF progression. Multivariable analysis identified, PR interval, impaired left atrial function, mitral valve regurgitation and waist circumference to be associated with AF progression. Adding blood biomarkers improved the model (C-statistic from 0.709 to 0.830) and showed male sex, lower levels of factor XIIa:C1-esterase inhibitor and tissue factor pathway inhibitor, and higher levels of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 and peptidoglycan recognition protein 1 were associated with AF progression.

conclusionIn patients with PAF, AF progression occurred in 5.5%/year. Predictors for progression included markers for atrial remodelling, sex, mitral valve regurgitation, waist circumference and biomarkers associated with coagulation, inflammation, cardiomyocyte stretch and atherosclerosis. These prediction models may help to determine risk of AF progression and treatment targets, but validation is needed. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02726698.

Indexed as

atrial fibrillationbiomarkersrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID35858774
PMCPMC9872250
OpenAlexW4286008006

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.