Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35833102›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in medicine2022

Cognitive Trajectories in Community-Dwelling Older Adults and Incident Dementia, Disability and Death: A 10-Year Longitudinal Study.

Zimu Wu, Robyn L Woods, Trevor T J Chong, Suzanne G Orchard, Raj C Shah, Rory Wolfe, Elsdon Storey, Kerry M Sheets, Anne M Murray, John J McNeil and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Cognitive trajectories in older adults and associated mortality and predictors.Social psychiatry and psychiatric epidemiology · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Zimu WuSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Robyn L WoodsSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Trevor T J ChongTurner Institute for Brain and Mental Health, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Suzanne G OrchardSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Raj C ShahDepartment of Family Medicine and Rush Alzheimer's Disease Center, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL, United States.
Rory WolfeSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Elsdon StoreySchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Kerry M SheetsDivision of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Department of Medicine, Hennepin Healthcare, Minneapolis, MN, United States.
Anne M MurrayBerman Center for Outcomes and Clinical Research, Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute, Minneapolis, MN, United States.
John J McNeilSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Joanne RyanSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.

Funding

ASPirin in Reducing Events in the ElderlyU01AG029824 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI MCNEIL, JOHN JAMES, MURRAY, ANNE M · 2009 to 2018
$64.6M
Main Administrative CoreU19AG062682 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI CHAN, ANDREW T, MCNEIL, JOHN JAMES · 2019 to 2023
$42.9M
NIA NIH HHS U01 AG029824NIA NIH HHS U19 AG062682
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: The inter-individual variability in cognitive changes may be early indicators of major health events. We aimed to determine whether late-life cognitive trajectories were associated with incident dementia, persistent physical disability and all-cause mortality. Methods: Data came from a cohort of older community-dwelling individuals aged 70 years or above in Australia and the United States. Global cognition, verbal fluency, episodic memory and psychomotor speed were assessed regularly at up to seven waves between 2010 and 2017. Dementia, disability in activities of daily living, and death were adjudicated between 2017 and 2020. Latent classes of cognitive trajectories over seven years were determined using group-based trajectory modeling. Multivariable logistic regression was used for the prospective associations between cognitive trajectories and these outcomes. Results: Cognitive trajectories were defined for 16,174 participants (mean age: 78.9 years; 56.7% female) who were alive and without incident dementia or disability by 2017, among which 14,655 participants were included in the association analysis. Between three and five trajectory classes were identified depending on the cognitive test. Cognitive trajectories were strongly associated with the risk of dementia. For example, compared to those in the highest-functioning trajectory, the worst performers of episodic memory had a 37-fold increased risk of dementia (95% CI: 17.23-82.64). The lowest trajectories of both global cognition and episodic memory also predicted increased mortality risk (OR: 1.80, 95% CI: 1.28-2.52; OR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.09-2.36, respectively), while only slow psychomotor speed was marginally associated with physical disability (OR: 2.39, 95% CI: 0.99-5.77). Conclusions: In older individuals, cognitive trajectories appear to be early indicators of clinically relevant health outcomes. Systematic cognitive assessments as part of routine geriatric evaluation may facilitate early identification and interventions for those individuals at highest risk.

Indexed as

activities of daily livingagingcognitiondeathdementialongitudinal

Identifiers

PMID35833102
PMCPMC9271785

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.