Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35818064›Full record

Observational studyCritical care (London, England)2022

Integrated PERSEVERE and endothelial biomarker risk model predicts death and persistent MODS in pediatric septic shock: a secondary analysis of a prospective observational study.

Mihir R Atreya, Natalie Z Cvijanovich, Julie C Fitzgerald, Scott L Weiss, Michael T Bigham, Parag N Jain, Adam J Schwarz, Riad Lutfi, Jeffrey Nowak, Geoffrey L Allen and 8 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Critical care (London, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
7.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 50 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 16 institutions in 1 country.

Mihir R AtreyaDivision of Critical Care Medicine, MLC2005, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, 3333 Burnet Avenue, Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA. Mihir.Atreya@cchmc.org.
Natalie Z CvijanovichUCSF Benioff Children's Hospital Oakland, Oakland, CA, 94609, USA.
Julie C FitzgeraldChildren's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.
Scott L WeissChildren's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.
Michael T BighamAkron Children's Hospital, Akron, OH, 44308, USA.
Parag N JainTexas Children's Hospital and Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
Adam J SchwarzChildren's Hospital of Orange County, Orange, CA, 92868, USA.
Riad LutfiRiley Hospital for Children, Indianapolis, IN, 46202, USA.
Jeffrey NowakChildren's Hospital and Clinics of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, 55404, USA.
Geoffrey L AllenChildren's Mercy Hospital, Kansas City, MO, 64108, USA.
Neal J ThomasPenn State Hershey Children's Hospital, Hershey, PA, 17033, USA.
Jocelyn R GrunwellChildren's Healthcare of Atlanta at Egleston, Atlanta, GA, 30322, USA.
Torrey BainesUniversity of Florida Health Shands Children's Hospital, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA.
Michael QuasneyCS Mott Children's Hospital at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, USA.
Bereketeab HaileselassieLucile Packard Children's Hospital Stanford, Palo Alto, CA, 94304, USA.
Christopher J LindsellDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, 37212, USA.
Matthew N AlderDivision of Critical Care Medicine, MLC2005, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, 3333 Burnet Avenue, Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA.
Hector R WongDivision of Critical Care Medicine, MLC2005, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, 3333 Burnet Avenue, Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA.
Children's Hospital of Philadelphia · USCincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center · USAkron Children's Hospital · USChildren's Healthcare of Atlanta · USChildren's Hospital of Orange County · USChildren's Mercy Hospital · USChildren’s Minnesota - St. Paul Hospital · USLucile Packard Children's Hospital · USPenn State Milton S. Hershey Medical Center · USRiley Hospital for Children · USTexas Children's Hospital · USUCSF Benioff Children's Hospital · USUniversity of Cincinnati Medical Center · USUniversity of Florida Health · USUniversity of Michigan–Ann Arbor · USVanderbilt University Medical Center · US

Funding

Leveraging Pharmacogenomics in Asthma for Predication, Mechanism and EndotypingR01HL161362 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI EUGENE ROLAND BLEECKER, GEOFFREY L CHUPP · 2022 to 2026
$8.4M
Supplement for MIRA award_Wong_2021R35GM126943 · NIGMS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI ALDER, MATTHEW N · 2018 to 2022
$2.7M
Collaborative Pediatric Critical Care Research Network (CPCCRN)RL1HD107776 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Peter Michael Mourani · 2021 to 2026
$934k
Airway Immune Response in Critically Ill Children-Precision Medicine in Children At Risk for Acute Respiratory Distress SyndromeK23HL151897 · NHLBI · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI GRUNWELL, JOCELYN REBECCA · 2020 to 2024
$888k
Pediatric septic acute kidney injury: personalizing antibiotic dosing through understanding acute kidney injury risk factors and biomarker profilesK23DK119463 · NIDDK · CHILDREN'S HOSP OF PHILADELPHIA · PI FITZGERALD, JULIE C. HOLLOWS · 2020 to 2024
$810k
Dysregulation of Mitochondrial Dynamics in Sepsis R00HD099387 · NICHD · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI HAILESELASSIE, BEREKETAB · 2021 to 2023
$747k
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development R00HD099387National Institute of Child Health and Human Development R01HL161362National Institute of Child Health and Human Development RL1HD107776NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL151897NHLBI NIH HHS K23HL151897NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL161362NICHD NIH HHS R00 HD099387NICHD NIH HHS RL1 HD107776NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK119463NIDDK NIH HHS K23DK119463NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM126943
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMultiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) is a critical driver of sepsis morbidity and mortality in children. Early identification of those at risk of death and persistent organ dysfunctions is necessary to enrich patients for future trials of sepsis therapeutics. Here, we sought to integrate endothelial and PERSEVERE biomarkers to estimate the composite risk of death or organ dysfunctions on day 7 of septic shock.

methodsWe measured endothelial dysfunction markers from day 1 serum among those with existing PERSEVERE data. TreeNet® classification model was derived incorporating 22 clinical and biological variables to estimate risk. Based on relative variable importance, a simplified 6-biomarker model was developed thereafter.

resultsAmong 502 patients, 49 patients died before day 7 and 124 patients had persistence of MODS on day 7 of septic shock. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) for the newly derived PERSEVEREnce model to predict death or day 7 MODS was 0.93 (0.91-0.95) with a summary AUROC of 0.80 (0.76-0.84) upon tenfold cross-validation. The simplified model, based on IL-8, HSP70, ICAM-1, Angpt2/Tie2, Angpt2/Angpt1, and Thrombomodulin, performed similarly. Interaction between variables-ICAM-1 with IL-8 and Thrombomodulin with Angpt2/Angpt1-contributed to the models' predictive capabilities. Model performance varied when estimating risk of individual organ dysfunctions with AUROCS ranging from 0.91 to 0.97 and 0.68 to 0.89 in training and test sets, respectively.

conclusionsThe newly derived PERSEVEREnce biomarker model reliably estimates risk of death or persistent organ dysfunctions on day 7 of septic shock. If validated, this tool can be used for prognostic enrichment in future pediatric trials of sepsis therapeutics.

Indexed as

SepsisShock, SepticBiomarkersChildHumansIntercellular Adhesion Molecule-1Interleukin-8Multiple Organ FailurePrognosisThrombomodulinBiomarkersIntercellular Adhesion Molecule-1Interleukin-8ThrombomodulinBiomarkersEndothelial dysfunctionMultiple organ dysfunction syndromePrecision medicinePrognostic enrichmentSepsisSeptic shock

Identifiers

PMID35818064
PMCPMC9275255
OpenAlexW4285043325

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.