ArticleNature climate change2022
Increasing surface runoff from Greenland's firn areas.
Article in Nature climate change, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Petermann Glacier on the brink: Progress, challenges and insights.Science advances · 2026Review
- Expansion of Antarctic surface melt through the 21st century.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Meltwater ponding has an underestimated radiative effect on the surface of the Greenland Ice Sheet.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Concurrent superimposed ice formation and meltwater runoff on Greenland's ice slabs.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Outburst of a subglacial flood from the surface of the Greenland Ice Sheet.Nature geoscience · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
At high elevations of ice sheets, melting snow generally percolates and refreezes, so does not contribute to the shrinking of the ice sheet. Here, we systematically map the runoff area of the Greenland ice sheet, using surface rivers visible on satellite imagery. Between 1985 and 2020, the maximum runoff elevation rose by 58-329 metres, expanding the runoff area by 29% (-8%/+6%). Excess melt beyond the refreezing capacity of pores in snowfall has created near-impermeable ice slabs that sustain surface runoff even in cooler summers. We show that two surface mass balance models over-estimate the runoff area by 16-30%. Once restricted to our observed areas they indicate that 5-10% of recent runoff likely comes from the expanded runoff area. Runoff from higher elevations is sensitive to projected warming as further increases in the runoff limit will increase the runoff area disproportionately.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.