Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35811294›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Digital health2022

Early human judgment forecasts of human monkeypox, May 2022.

Thomas McAndrew, Maimuna S Majumder, Andrew A Lover, Srini Venkatramanan, Paolo Bocchini, Tamay Besiroglu, Allison Codi, David Braun, Gaia Dempsey, Sam Abbott and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Digital health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Association between Global Monkeypox Cases and Meteorological Factors.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Thomas McAndrewDepartment of Community and Population Health, College of Health, Lehigh University, Bethlehem, PA 18015, USA. Electronic address: mcandrew@lehigh.edu.
Maimuna S MajumderBoston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Andrew A LoverDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA, USA.
Srini VenkatramananBiocomplexity Institute and Initiative, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Paolo BocchiniDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, P C Rossin College of Engineering and Applied Science, Lehigh University, Bethlehem, PA 18015, USA.
Tamay BesirogluMIT Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, Cambridge, MA, USA; Metaculus, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
Allison CodiDepartment of Community and Population Health, College of Health, Lehigh University, Bethlehem, PA 18015, USA.
David BraunDepartment of Psychology, College of Arts and Sciences, Lehigh University, Bethlehem, PA 18015, USA.
Gaia DempseyMetaculus, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
Sam AbbottCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Sylvain ChevalierMetaculus, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
Nikos I BosseMetaculus, Santa Cruz, CA, USA; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Juan CambeiroMetaculus, Santa Cruz, CA, USA; Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.

Funding

Digital data streams and machine learning for real-time modeling of vaccine-preventable infectious diseasesR35GM146974 · NIGMS · BOSTON CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL · PI Maimuna Shahnaz Majumder · 2022 to 2026
$2.2M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM146974
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.

Indexed as

Mpox, MonkeypoxForecastingHumansJudgment

Identifiers

PMID35811294
PMCPMC9534486

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.