Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35805514›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2022

Climate Change, Drought and Rural Suicide in New South Wales, Australia: Future Impact Scenario Projections to 2099.

Ivan C Hanigan, Timothy B Chaston

Open access · goldAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. Addressing water scarcity to support climate resilience and human health.Integrated environmental assessment and management · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Ivan C HaniganWHO Collaborating Centre for Environmental Health Impact Assessment, School of Population Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA 6102, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6360-6793
Timothy B ChastonUniversity Centre for Rural Health, Sydney School of Public Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia.
The University of Sydney · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mental health problems are associated with droughts, and suicide is one of the most tragic outcomes. We estimated the numbers of suicides attributable to drought under possible climate change scenarios for the future years until 2099, based on the historical baseline period 1970-2007. Drought and rural suicide data from the Australian state of New South Wales (NSW) were analyzed for the baseline data period. Three global climate models and two representative concentration pathways were used to assess the range of potential future outcomes. Drought-related suicides increased among rural men aged 10-29 and 30-49 yrs in all modelled climate change scenarios. Rural males aged over 50 yrs and young rural females (10-29) showed no increased suicide risk, whereas decreased suicide rates were predicted for rural women of 30-49 and 50-plus years of age, suggesting resilience (according to the baseline historical relationship in those population sub-groups). No association between suicide and drought was identified in urban populations in the baseline data. Australian droughts are expected to increase in duration and intensity as climate change progresses. Hence, estimates of impacts, such as increased rural suicide rates, can inform mitigation and adaptation strategies that will help prepare communities for the effects of climate change.

Indexed as

DroughtsSuicideAustraliaClimate ChangeFemaleHumansMaleNew South WalesRural Populationclimate change scenariodroughtmental healthrainfallvulnerable populationswellbeing

Identifiers

PMID35805514
PMCPMC9266200
OpenAlexW4283580028

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.