Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35804904›Full record

ArticleCancers2022

Artificial Intelligence-Based Prognostic Model for Urologic Cancers: A SEER-Based Study.

Okyaz Eminaga, Eugene Shkolyar, Bernhard Breil, Axel Semjonow, Martin Boegemann, Lei Xing, Ilker Tinay, Joseph C Liao

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. A Scoping Review on Calibration Methods for Cancer Simulation Models.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Okyaz EminagaDepartment of Urology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Eugene ShkolyarDepartment of Urology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5410-6412
Bernhard BreilFaculty of Health Care, Hochschule Niederrhein, University of Applied Sciences, 47805 Krefeld, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2891-5558
Axel SemjonowProstate Center, Department of Urology, University Hospital Muenster, 48149 Muenster, Germany.
Martin BoegemannProstate Center, Department of Urology, University Hospital Muenster, 48149 Muenster, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2569-4446
Lei XingDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Ilker TinayDepartment of Urology, Marmara University School of Medicine, Istanbul 34854, Turkey.
Joseph C LiaoDepartment of Urology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Stanford University · USHochschule Niederrhein · DEMarmara University · TR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrognostication is essential to determine the risk profile of patients with urologic cancers.

methodsWe utilized the SEER national cancer registry database with approximately 2 million patients diagnosed with urologic cancers (penile, testicular, prostate, bladder, ureter, and kidney). The cohort was randomly divided into the development set (90%) and the out-held test set (10%). Modeling algorithms and clinically relevant parameters were utilized for cancer-specific mortality prognosis. The model fitness for the survival estimation was assessed using the differences between the predicted and observed Kaplan-Meier estimates on the out-held test set. The overall concordance index (c-index) score estimated the discriminative accuracy of the survival model on the test set. A simulation study assessed the estimated minimum follow-up duration and time points with the risk stability.

resultsWe achieved a well-calibrated prognostic model with an overall c-index score of 0.800 (95% CI: 0.795-0.805) on the representative out-held test set. The simulation study revealed that the suggestions for the follow-up duration covered the minimum duration and differed by the tumor dissemination stages and affected organs. Time points with a high likelihood for risk stability were identifiable.

conclusionsA personalized temporal survival estimation is feasible using artificial intelligence and has potential application in clinical settings, including surveillance management.

Indexed as

artificial intelligencedata-driven solutionmachine learningsurveillance managementsurvival modelingurologic cancers

Identifiers

PMID35804904
PMCPMC9264864
OpenAlexW4283528178

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.