Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35800164›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine2022

Comparison of Four Machine Learning Techniques for Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Length of Stay in Heart Transplantation Patients.

Kan Wang, Li Zhao Yan, Wang Zi Li, Chen Jiang, Ni Ni Wang, Qiang Zheng, Nian Guo Dong, Jia Wei Shi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Development of a peripheral blood transcriptomic gene signature to predict bronchopulmonary dysplasia.American journal of physiology. Lung cellular and molecular physiology · 2023
    Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Machine Learning for Intensive Care Unit Length-of-Stay Prediction: A Simulation-Based Approach to Bed Capacity Management.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2026
    Article
  5. Development of Multiservice Machine Learning Models to Predict Postsurgical Length of Stay and Discharge Disposition at the Time of Case Posting.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Kan WangDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Li Zhao YanDepartment of Hand Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Wang Zi LiDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Chen JiangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Ni Ni WangDepartment of Nurse, Jianshi County People's Hospital, Enshi, China.
Qiang ZhengDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Nian Guo DongDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Jia Wei ShiDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Huazhong University of Science and Technology · CNUnion Hospital · CNJingning County People's Hospital · CNUnion Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Post-operative heart transplantation patients often require admission to an intensive care unit (ICU). Early prediction of the ICU length of stay (ICU-LOS) of these patients is of great significance and can guide treatment while reducing the mortality rate among patients. However, conventional linear models have tended to perform worse than non-linear models. Materials and Methods: We collected the clinical data of 365 patients from Wuhan Union Hospital who underwent heart transplantation surgery between April 2017 and August 2020. The patients were randomly divided into training data ( Results: In this study, 365 consecutive patients undergoing heart transplantation surgery for moderate (NYHA grade 3) or severe (NYHA grade 4) heart failure were collected in Wuhan Union Hospital from 2017 to 2020. The median age of the recipient patients was 47.2 years, while the median age of the donors was 35.58 years. 330 (90.4%) of the donor patients were men, and the average surgery duration was 260.06 min. Among this cohort, 47 (12.9%) had renal complications, 25 (6.8%) had hepatic complications, 11 (3%) had undergone chest re-exploration and 19 (5.2%) had undergone extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). The following six important clinical features were selected using LASSO regression, and according to the result of SHAP, the rank of importance was (1) the use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO); (2) donor age; (3) the use of an intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP); (4) length of surgery; (5) high creatinine (Cr); and (6) the use of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm presented significantly better predictive performance (AUC-ROC = 0.88) than other models [Accuracy: 0.87; sensitivity: 0.98; specificity: 0.51; positive predictive value (PPV): 0.86; negative predictive value (NPV): 0.93]. Conclusion: Using the XGBoost classifier with heart transplantation patients can provide an accurate prediction of ICU-LOS, which will not only improve the accuracy of clinical decision-making but also contribute to the allocation and management of medical resources; it is also a real-world example of precision medicine in hospitals.

Indexed as

AUC-ROCheart transplantationICU-LOSmachine learningSHAP (Shapley Additive explanations)XGboost

Identifiers

PMID35800164
PMCPMC9253610
OpenAlexW4283221166

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.