Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35795907›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2022

Islands in the ice: Potential impacts of habitat transformation on Antarctic biodiversity.

Jasmine R Lee, Melinda J Waterman, Justine D Shaw, Dana M Bergstrom, Heather J Lynch, Diana H Wall, Sharon A Robinson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Ice gliding diatoms establish record-low temperature limits for motility in a eukaryotic cell.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Environmental consequences of interacting effects of changes in stratospheric ozone, ultraviolet radiation, and climate: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2024.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Interactive effects of changes in UV radiation and climate on terrestrial ecosystems, biogeochemical cycles, and feedbacks to the climate system.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jasmine R LeeBritish Antarctic Survey, NERC, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3847-1679
Melinda J WatermanSecuring Antarctica's Environmental Future, School of Earth, Atmospheric and Life Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-5907-4512
Justine D ShawSecuring Antarctica's Environmental Future, School of Biology and Environmental Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9603-2271
Dana M BergstromAustralian Antarctic Division, Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment, Kingston, TAS, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8484-8954
Heather J LynchDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9026-1612
Diana H WallDepartment of Biology and School of Global Environmental Sustainability, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9466-5235
Sharon A RobinsonSecuring Antarctica's Environmental Future, School of Earth, Atmospheric and Life Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-7130-9617

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Antarctic biodiversity faces an unknown future with a changing climate. Most terrestrial biota is restricted to limited patches of ice-free land in a sea of ice, where they are adapted to the continent's extreme cold and wind and exploit microhabitats of suitable conditions. As temperatures rise, ice-free areas are predicted to expand, more rapidly in some areas than others. There is high uncertainty as to how species' distributions, physiology, abundance, and survivorship will be affected as their habitats transform. Here we use current knowledge to propose hypotheses that ice-free area expansion (i) will increase habitat availability, though the quality of habitat will vary; (ii) will increase structural connectivity, although not necessarily increase opportunities for species establishment; (iii) combined with milder climates will increase likelihood of non-native species establishment, but may also lengthen activity windows for all species; and (iv) will benefit some species and not others, possibly resulting in increased homogeneity of biodiversity. We anticipate considerable spatial, temporal, and taxonomic variation in species responses, and a heightened need for interdisciplinary research to understand the factors associated with ecosystem resilience under future scenarios. Such research will help identify at-risk species or vulnerable localities and is crucial for informing environmental management and policymaking into the future.

Indexed as

BiodiversityEcosystemAntarctic RegionsBiotaClimate ChangeWindAntarcticabiodiversitybiotic homogenizationclimate changeconnectivityice-freenon-native species

Identifiers

PMID35795907
PMCPMC9542894

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.