ArticleHeliyon2022
Modeling of leptospirosis outbreaks in relation to hydroclimatic variables in the northeast of Argentina.
Article in Heliyon, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Epidemiological and Environmental Risk Factors for Human Leptospirosis Cases in Buenos Aires Province, Argentina (2000-2016): An Ecological Study.Zoonoses and public health · 2026Article
- Detection of pathogenic leptospires in water bodies in neighborhoods vulnerable to flooding, through a participatory research approach in Santa Fe (Argentina).PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Geographical factors and air raid alarms influence leptospirosis epidemiology in Ukraine (2018-2023).One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2024Article
- The role of asymptomatic cattle for leptospirosis dynamics in a herd with imperfect vaccination.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Towards a leptospirosis early warning system in northeastern Argentina.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2023Article
- Modeling of the combined dynamics of leptospirosis transmission and seroconversion in herds.Scientific reports · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The transmission of leptospirosis is conditioned by climatic variables. In northeastern Argentina leptospirosis outbreaks occur mainly in coincidence with periods of abundant precipitation and high hydrometric level. A Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered Epidemiological Model (SIR) is proposed, which incorporates hydroclimatic variables for the three most populated cities in the area (Santa Fe, Paraná and Rosario), during the 2009-2018 period. Results obtained by solving the proposed SIR model for the 2010 outbreak are in good agreement with the actual data, capturing the dynamics of the leptospirosis outbreak wave. However, the model does not perform very well in the last months of the year when isolated cases appear outside the outbreak periods, probably due to non- climatic factors not explicitly considered in the present version of the model. Nevertheless, the dynamic modeling of infectious diseases considering hydroclimatic variables constitutes a climatic service for the public health system, not yet available in Argentina.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.