Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35780515›Full record

ArticleEpidemics2022

Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number.

Oliver Eales, Kylie E C Ainslie, Caroline E Walters, Haowei Wang, Christina Atchison, Deborah Ashby, Christl A Donnelly, Graham Cooke, Wendy Barclay, Helen Ward and 3 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Effectiveness of social distancing measures and lockdowns for reducing transmission of COVID-19 in non-healthcare, community-based settings.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2023
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Oliver EalesSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; MRC Centre for Global infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: o.eales18@imperial.ac.uk.
Kylie E C AinslieSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; MRC Centre for Global infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, The Netherlands. Electronic address: k.ainslie@imperial.ac.uk.
Caroline E WaltersSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; MRC Centre for Global infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: caroline.walters@healthlumen.com.
Haowei WangSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; MRC Centre for Global infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: haowei.wang18@imperial.ac.uk.
Christina AtchisonSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: christina.atchison11@imperial.ac.uk.
Deborah AshbySchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: deborah.ashby@imperial.ac.uk.
Christl A DonnellySchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; MRC Centre for Global infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom. Electronic address: c.donnelly@imperial.ac.uk.
Graham CookeDepartment of Infectious Disease, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; National Institute for Health Research, Imperial Biomedical Research Centre, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: g.cooke@imperial.ac.uk.
Wendy BarclayDepartment of Infectious Disease, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: w.barclay@imperial.ac.uk.
Helen WardSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; National Institute for Health Research, Imperial Biomedical Research Centre, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: h.ward@imperial.ac.uk.
Ara DarziImperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; National Institute for Health Research, Imperial Biomedical Research Centre, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Institute of Global Health Innovation, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: a.darzi@imperial.ac.uk.
Paul ElliottSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; National Institute for Health Research, Imperial Biomedical Research Centre, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; MRC Centre for Environment and Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Health Data Research (HDR), Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; UK Dementia Research Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: p.elliott@imperial.ac.uk.
Steven RileySchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; MRC Centre for Global infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: s.riley@imperial.ac.uk.

Funding

Department of HealthMedical Research Council MC_PC_19012Medical Research Council MR/J008761/1Medical Research Council MR/L01341X/1Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1Medical Research Council MR/S019669/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The time-varying reproduction number (R

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2Bayes TheoremCommunicable Disease ControlHumansPrevalenceReproductionBayesian P-splineCOVID-19Cross-sectional studyReproduction numberSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID35780515
PMCPMC9220254

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.