Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35776442›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2022

Unbalanced Risk of Pulmonary Tuberculosis in China at the Subnational Scale: Spatiotemporal Analysis.

Maogui Hu, Yuqing Feng, Tao Li, Yanlin Zhao, Jinfeng Wang, Chengdong Xu, Wei Chen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. Case report:Frontiers in immunology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Maogui Hu *State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7671-7863
Yuqing Feng *State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9267-8681
Tao Li *National Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3176-018X
Yanlin ZhaoNational Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7890-4312
Jinfeng WangState Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6687-9420
Chengdong XuState Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9266-7309
Wei ChenNational Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5649-081X
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research · CNChinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChina has one of the highest tuberculosis (TB) burdens in the world. However, the unbalanced spatial and temporal trends of TB risk at a fine level remain unclear.

objectiveWe aimed to investigate the unbalanced risks of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) at different levels and how they evolved from both temporal and spatial aspects using PTB notification data from 2851 counties over a decade in China.

methodsCounty-level notified PTB case data were collected from 2009 to 2018 in mainland China. A Bayesian hierarchical model was constructed to analyze the unbalanced spatiotemporal patterns of PTB notification rates during this period at subnational scales. The Gini coefficient was calculated to assess the inequality of the relative risk (RR) of PTB across counties.

resultsFrom 2009 to 2018, the number of notified PTB cases in mainland China decreased from 946,086 to 747,700. The average number of PTB cases in counties was 301 (SD 26) and the overall average notification rate was 60 (SD 6) per 100,000 people. There were obvious regional differences in the RRs for PTB (Gini coefficient 0.32, 95% CI 0.31-0.33). Xinjiang had the highest PTB notification rate, with a multiyear average of 155/100,000 (RR 2.3, 95% CI 1.6-2.8; P<.001), followed by Guizhou (117/100,000; RR 1.8, 95% CI 1.3-1.9; P<.001) and Tibet (108/100,000; RR 1.7, 95% CI 1.3-2.1; P<.001). The RR for PTB showed a steady downward trend. Gansu (local trend [LT] 0.95, 95% CI 0.93-0.96; P<.001) and Shanxi (LT 0.94, 95% CI 0.92-0.96; P<.001) experienced the fastest declines. However, the RRs for PTB in the western region (such as counties in Xinjiang, Guizhou, and Tibet) were significantly higher than those in the eastern and central regions (P<.001), and the decline rate of the RR for PTB was lower than the overall level (P<.001).

conclusionsPTB risk showed significant regional inequality among counties in China, and western China presented a high plateau of disease burden. Improvements in economic and medical service levels are required to boost PTB case detection and eventually reduce PTB risk in the whole country.

Indexed as

TuberculosisTuberculosis, PulmonaryBayes TheoremChinaHumansSpatio-Temporal AnalysisBayesiancasesChinadisease burdenincidenceinfectious diseasenotification datanotification ratespatternpublic healthpulmonary tuberculosisregional inequalityriskspatial dataspatiotemporal patternTBtrendtuberculosisunbalanced

Identifiers

PMID35776442
PMCPMC9288096
OpenAlexW4229448737

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.