Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35771410›Full record

ArticleHepatology international2022

A prognostic model of acute-on-chronic liver failure based on sarcopenia.

Hong Peng, Qian Zhang, Lei Luo, Siyi Lei, Tingting Xiong, Li Long, Yan Xiong, Liulu Zhang, Jinding Zheng, Xinhua Luo

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology international, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Hong Peng *Department of Infectious Diseases, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, 83 Zhongshan Road, Nanming District, Guiyang, 550002, Guizhou, China.
Qian Zhang *Department of Infectious Diseases, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, 83 Zhongshan Road, Nanming District, Guiyang, 550002, Guizhou, China.
Lei LuoGood Clinical Practice Center, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, Guiyang, Guizhou, China.
Siyi LeiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, 83 Zhongshan Road, Nanming District, Guiyang, 550002, Guizhou, China.
Tingting XiongDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, 83 Zhongshan Road, Nanming District, Guiyang, 550002, Guizhou, China.
Li LongDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, 83 Zhongshan Road, Nanming District, Guiyang, 550002, Guizhou, China.
Yan XiongDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, 83 Zhongshan Road, Nanming District, Guiyang, 550002, Guizhou, China.
Liulu ZhangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, 83 Zhongshan Road, Nanming District, Guiyang, 550002, Guizhou, China.
Jinding ZhengDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, 83 Zhongshan Road, Nanming District, Guiyang, 550002, Guizhou, China.
Xinhua LuoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, 83 Zhongshan Road, Nanming District, Guiyang, 550002, Guizhou, China. Luoxinhua1972@126.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8285-3063
Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by the development of a syndrome associated with a high risk of short-term death in patients with acute decompensated cirrhosis, and better indicators are needed to predict such outcomes. Sarcopenia, a common complication of cirrhosis, is closely associated with poor prognosis and increased mortality. In this study, the skeletal muscle index of ACLF patients was measured to determine whether sarcopenia combined with clinical parameters can aid in identifying those at high risk of progression.

methodsA total of 433 hospitalized patients with ACLF according to the APASL criteria were included and allocated into two groups: transplantation-free survival (n = 293) or progression (n = 140, 107 died; 33 underwent liver transplantation) within 90 days. Muscle mass was assessed based on the skeletal muscle index. The optimal cut-off value of the AMPAS1 model (age, MELD score, platelet count, alpha-fetoprotein level, sarcopenia, and more than one complication combination) for progression prediction was identified using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

resultsSarcopenia was an independent risk factor for progression in the ACLF population (HR 3.771 95% CI 2.114-6.727, p < 0.001). AMPAS1 was a good predictor, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.865, and the cut-off value for poor outcome prediction was 0.31 (sensitivity 79.4%, specificity 76.4%).

conclusionWe demonstrate that sarcopenia is a simple and objective indicator for predicting short-term prognosis in patients with ACLF. Moreover, compared to conventional prognostic scores, AMPAS1 is a better model for predicting 90 day adverse outcomes in ACLF patients.

Indexed as

Acute-On-Chronic Liver FailureSarcopeniaHumansLiver CirrhosisPrognosisRetrospective StudiesROC CurveAcute-on-chronic liver failureLiver transplantationNutritional statusPredictive modelProgressionSarcopeniaSurvival

Identifiers

PMID35771410
PMCPMC9349113
OpenAlexW4283754712

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.