Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35768806›Full record

ArticleBMC pregnancy and childbirth2022

Population-based surveillance for congenital zika virus syndrome: a latent class analysis of recorded cases from 2015-2018.

Enny S Paixao, Laura C Rodrigues, Maria da Conceição N Costa, Rita de Cassia Oliveira de Carvalho-Sauer, Wanderson K Oliveira, Luciana L Cardim, Lavinia Schuler-Faccini, Roberto F S Andrade, Moreno S Rodrigues, Elizabeth B Brickley and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pregnancy and childbirth, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Enny S PaixaoLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London, WC1E 7HT, UK. enny.cruz@lshtm.ac.uk.
Laura C RodriguesLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Maria da Conceição N CostaCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.
Rita de Cassia Oliveira de Carvalho-SauerEast Regional Health Center of the State Health Secretariat of Bahia, Santo Antonio de Jesus, Bahia, Brazil.
Wanderson K OliveiraMinistry of Defense Hospital das Armed Forces, Technical Directorate of Education and Research, Brasília, Brazil.
Luciana L CardimCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.
Lavinia Schuler-FacciniGenetics Department, Universidade Federal Do Rio Grande Do Sul, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil.
Roberto F S AndradeCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.
Moreno S RodriguesCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.
Elizabeth B BrickleyLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Rafael V VeigaCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.
Larissa C CostaCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.
Eduardo H CarmoCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.
Liam SmeethLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Mauricio L BarretoCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.
Maria Gloria TeixeiraCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 213589/Z/18/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aims to describe clinical findings and determine the medium-term survival of congenital zika syndrome (CZS) suspected cases.

methodsA retrospective cohort study using routine register-based linked data. It included all suspected cases of CZS born in Brazil from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2018, and followed up from birth until death, 36 months, or December 31, 2018, whichever came first. Latent class analysis was used to cluster unconfirmed cases into classes with similar combinations of anthropometry at birth, imaging findings, maternally reported rash, region, and year of birth. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted, and Cox proportional hazards models were fitted to determine mortality up to 36 months.

resultsWe followed 11,850 suspected cases of CZS, of which 28.3% were confirmed, 9.3% inconclusive and 62.4% unconfirmed. Confirmed cases had almost two times higher mortality when compared with unconfirmed cases. Among unconfirmed cases, we identified three distinct clusters with different mortality trajectories. The highest mortality risk was observed in those with abnormal imaging findings compatible with congenital infections (HR = 12.6; IC95%8.8-18.0) and other abnormalities (HR = 11.6; IC95%8.6-15.6) compared with those with normal imaging findings. The risk was high in those with severe microcephaly (HR = 8.2; IC95%6.4-10.6) and macrocephaly (HR = 6.6; IC95%4.5-9.7) compared with normal head size.

conclusionAbnormal imaging and head circumference appear to be the main drivers of the increased mortality among suspected cases of CZS. We suggest identifying children who are more likely to die and have a greater need to optimise interventions and resource allocation regardless of the final diagnoses.

Indexed as

MicrocephalyPregnancy Complications, InfectiousZika VirusZika Virus InfectionBrazilChildFemaleHumansInfant, NewbornLatent Class AnalysisPregnancyRetrospective StudiesCongenital zika syndromeImaging findingsMicrocephalyMortality

Identifiers

PMID35768806
PMCPMC9245223

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.