ArticleLa Medicina del lavoro2022
No excess mortality among working-age Italians during the Omicron wave of Covid-19.
Article in La Medicina del lavoro, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.
- COVID-19 Marked a Change in the Scope of Occupational Medicine from Occupational to Work-Related Diseases and Total Worker Health®.La Medicina del lavoro · 2023Article
- Two years of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and COVID-19 in Lombardy, Italy.Internal and emergency medicine · 2023Article
- Still Unanswered Questions About SARS-CoV-2 Mortality and Future Directions for Occupational Medicine.La Medicina del lavoro · 2023Article
- Excess Total Mortality in Italy: An Update to February 2023 with Focus on Working Ages.La Medicina del lavoro · 2023Article
- A "Post-mortem" of COVID-19-associated stroke: a case-control study.Journal of stroke and cerebrovascular diseases : the official journal of National Stroke Association · 2022Observational
- Updated estimates of excess total mortality in Italy during the circulation of the BA.2 and BA.4-5 Omicron variants: April-July 2022.La Medicina del lavoro · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThis study provides updated estimates of the excess deaths in Italy with a focus on the working-age population.
methodsOver-dispersed Poisson regression models, fitted on 2011-2019 mortality data, and including terms for age, calendar year and a smooth function of the week of the year, were used to estimate the expected number of deaths during the Covid-19 pandemic. The excess deaths were then obtained by the difference between observed and expected deaths and reported according to the pandemic periods defined by the predominant circulating variant of SARS-CoV-2.
resultsAround 170,700 excess deaths at all ages were estimated between March 2020 and March 2022 in Italy with most of the excess occurring during the pre-Delta and Delta period, and 2930 excess deaths (+2.5%) during the Omicron wave. The excesses among the working age population were: 10,425 deaths (+11.8%) during the pre-Delta period, 2460 (+9.4%) during the Delta wave, 283 (+2.2%) during the transition period to Delta. Mortality was lower than expected during the Omicron wave (-6.1%).
conclusionsOver the periods preceding the Omicron wave, Covid-19 caused around 12,800 excess deaths among individuals of working age, accounting for over 10% excess death. This excess was no longer observed during the Omicron wave.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.