Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35762577›Full record

ArticleeLife2022

Evolution-based mathematical models significantly prolong response to abiraterone in metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer and identify strategies to further improve outcomes.

Jingsong Zhang, Jessica Cunningham, Joel Brown, Robert Gatenby

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 75 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
75citing papers in PubMed
16.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

75 citing papers in PubMed, 116 citations in OpenAlex.

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  19. Adaptive therapy and its challenges.Evolution, medicine, and public health · 2026
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15 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jingsong ZhangDepartment of Genitourinary Oncology, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, United States.
Jessica CunninghamDepartment of Integrated Mathematical Oncology, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, United States.
Joel BrownDepartment of Integrated Mathematical Oncology, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, United States.
Robert GatenbyDepartment of Integrated Mathematical Oncology, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-1621-1510
Moffitt Cancer Center · US

Funding

TRANSLATIONAL RESEARCHP30CA076292 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KENNETH Lynn WRIGHT · 1998 to 2026
$93.5M
The Physi(ologi)cal Microenvironment and its Role in Tumor Invasion and MetastaseU54CA143970 · NCI · H. LEE MOFFITT CANCER CTR & RES INST · PI GATENBY, ROBERT A · 2009 to 2014
$9.3M
Eco-Evolutionary dynamics of NSCLC to immunotherapy: Response and ResistanceU01CA232382 · NCI · H. LEE MOFFITT CANCER CTR & RES INST · PI ANDERSON, ALEXANDER ROBERTSON ALLAN, ANTONIA, SCOTT J. · 2018 to 2022
$3.3M
Application of Evolutionary Principles to Maintain Cancer Control (PQ21)R01CA170595 · NCI · H. LEE MOFFITT CANCER CTR & RES INST · PI GATENBY, ROBERT A · 2012 to 2015
$2.1M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA076292NCI NIH HHS R01 CA170595NCI NIH HHS U01 CA232382NCI NIH HHS U54 CA143970
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Abiraterone acetate is an effective treatment for metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), but evolution of resistance inevitably leads to progression. We present a pilot study in which abiraterone dosing is guided by evolution-informed mathematical models to delay onset of resistance. Methods: In the study cohort, abiraterone was stopped when PSA was <50% of pretreatment value and resumed when PSA returned to baseline. Results are compared to a contemporaneous cohort who had >50% PSA decline after initial abiraterone administration and met trial eligibility requirements but chose standard of care (SOC) dosing. Results: 17 subjects were enrolled in the adaptive therapy group and 16 in the SOC group. All SOC subjects have progressed, but four patients in the study cohort remain stably cycling (range 53-70 months). The study cohort had significantly improved median time to progression (TTP; 33.5 months; p<0.001) and median overall survival (OS; 58.5 months; hazard ratio, 0.41, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.20-0.83, p<0.001) compared to 14.3 and 31.3 months in the SOC cohort. On average, study subjects received no abiraterone during 46% of time on trial. Longitudinal trial data demonstrated the competition coefficient ratio ( Conclusions: Incorporation of evolution-based mathematical models into abiraterone monotherapy for mCRPC significantly increases TTP and OS. Computer simulations with updated parameters from longitudinal trial data can estimate intratumoral evolutionary dynamics in each subject and identify strategies to improve outcomes. Funding: Moffitt internal grants and NIH/NCI U54CA143970-05 (Physical Science Oncology Network).

Indexed as

Prostatic Neoplasms, Castration-ResistantAndrostenesHumansMaleModels, TheoreticalPilot ProjectsProstate-Specific AntigenabirateroneAndrostenesProstate-Specific Antigenadaptive therapycancer evolutionevolutionary biologyhumanmathematical modelsmedicinemetastatic prostate cancer

Identifiers

PMID35762577
PMCPMC9239688
OpenAlexW4283643602

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.