ArticleHealth economics2022
When and how do business shutdowns work? Evidence from Italy's first COVID-19 wave.
Article in Health economics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions: data annotation for rapidly changing local policy information.Scientific data · 2023Article
- When and how do business shutdowns work? Evidence from Italy's first COVID-19 wave.Health economics · 2022Article
- The effect of nonpharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 infections for lower and middle-income countries: A debiased LASSO approach.PloS one · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Governments around the world have adopted unprecedented policies to deal with COVID-19. This paper zooms in on business shutdowns and investigates their effectiveness in reducing mortality. We leverage highly granular death registry data for almost 5000 Italian municipalities in a diff-in-diff approach that allows us to mitigate endogeneity concerns credibly. Our results, which are robust to controlling for a host of co-factors, offer strong evidence that business shutdowns effectively curb mortality. We calculate that they may have reduced the death toll from the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy by about 40%. Our findings also highlight that timeliness is key - by acting 1 week earlier, their effectiveness could have been increased by an additional 5%. Finally, shutdowns should be targeted. Closing service activities with a high degree of interpersonal contact saves the most lives. Shutting down production activities, while substantially reducing mobility, only has mild effects on mortality.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.