ArticleNature climate change2022
Threat by marine heatwaves to adaptive large marine ecosystems in an eddy-resolving model.
Article in Nature climate change, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
What it found
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
- Projecting Impacts of Marine Heatwaves and Their Effects on Long-Term Changes in Marine Ecosystems Over the 21st Century.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Short-term performance responses of an intertidal fish to sedimentation and warming.Journal of fish biology · 2026Article
- Temperature and Prey Availability Drive Seasonal Variations in Diet, Abundance and Condition ofEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Marine heatwaves shift ocean net primary productivity from the tropics toward the poles.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Ocean dynamics shape marine heatwaves and their predictability.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Skillful subseasonal Indian Ocean marine heatwave forecasts using a neural network.Environmental data science · 2026Article
- Cardiac performance mirrors the passive thermal tolerance range in the oyster Ostrea edulis.The Journal of experimental biology · 2025Article
- Intensification of future subsurface marine heatwaves in an eddy-resolving model.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Arctic Amplification of marine heatwaves under global warming.Nature communications · 2024Article
- The ocean losing its breath under the heatwaves.Nature communications · 2024Article
- The effects of marine heatwaves on a coral reef snapper: insights into aerobic and anaerobic physiology and recovery.Conservation physiology · 2024Article
- Enhancing impacts of mesoscale eddies on Southern Ocean temperature variability and extremes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Toward Earth system modeling with resolved clouds and ocean submesoscales on heterogeneous many-core HPCs.National science review · 2023Article
- Hidden heatwaves and severe coral bleaching linked to mesoscale eddies and thermocline dynamics.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
12 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Marine heatwaves (MHWs), episodic periods of abnormally high sea surface temperature (SST), severely affect marine ecosystems. Large Marine Ecosystems (LMEs) cover ~22% of the global ocean but account for 95% of global fisheries catches. Yet how climate change affects MHWs over LMEs remains unknown, because such LMEs are confined to the coast where low-resolution climate models are known to have biases. Here, using a high-resolution Earth system model and applying a "future threshold" that considers MHWs as anomalous warming above the long-term mean warming of SSTs, we find that future intensity and annual days of MHWs over majority of the LMEs remain higher than in the present-day climate. Better resolution of ocean mesoscale eddies enables simulation of more realistic MHWs than low-resolution models. These increases in MHWs under global warming poses a serious threat to LMEs, even if resident organisms could adapt fully to the long-term mean warming.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.