Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35757490›Full record

ArticleAdvances in neural information processing systems2021

Statistical Inference with M-Estimators on Adaptively Collected Data.

Kelly W Zhang, Lucas Janson, Susan A Murphy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Advances in neural information processing systems, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Adaptive Randomization in Conjoint Survey Experiments.Political analysis : an annual publication of the Methodology Section of the American Political Science Association · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Replicable Bandits for Digital Health Interventions.Statistical science : a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Online learning in bandits with predicted context.Proceedings of machine learning research · 2024
    Article
  7. Effect-Invariant Mechanisms for Policy Generalization.Journal of machine learning research : JMLR · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Kelly W ZhangDepartment of Computer Science, Harvard University.
Lucas JansonDepartments of Statistics, Harvard University.
Susan A MurphyDepartments of Statistics and Computer Science, Harvard University.

Funding

Pilot and Mentoring CoreP50DA054039 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LINDA M COLLINS, SUSAN A MURPHY · 2021 to 2026
$18.2M
Pilot, Mentoring, and Professional Development CoreP50DA039838 · NIDA · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI LI, RUNZE · 2015 to 2019
$13.9M
TR&D3 - Rapid Translation of AI-powered Temporally Precise mHealth Interventions via Efficient and Embeddable Trustworthy Biomarker ImplementationsP41EB028242 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF MEMPHIS · PI Santosh Kumar · 2020 to 2026
$9.5M
Novel use of mHealth data to identify states of vulnerability and receptivity to JITAIs SupplementU01CA229437 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI NAHUM-SHANI, INBAL BILLIE, WETTER, DAVID W · 2018 to 2022
$2.8M
Data-Based Methods for Just-In-Time Adaptive Interventions in Alcohol UseR01AA023187 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MURPHY, SUSAN A · 2015 to 2019
$2.6M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA229437NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA023187NIBIB NIH HHS P41 EB028242NIDA NIH HHS P50 DA039838NIDA NIH HHS P50 DA054039
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Bandit algorithms are increasingly used in real-world sequential decision-making problems. Associated with this is an increased desire to be able to use the resulting datasets to answer scientific questions like: Did one type of ad lead to more purchases? In which contexts is a mobile health intervention effective? However, classical statistical approaches fail to provide valid confidence intervals when used with data collected with bandit algorithms. Alternative methods have recently been developed for simple models (e.g., comparison of means). Yet there is a lack of general methods for conducting statistical inference using more complex models on data collected with (contextual) bandit algorithms; for example, current methods cannot be used for valid inference on parameters in a logistic regression model for a binary reward. In this work, we develop theory justifying the use of M-estimators-which includes estimators based on empirical risk minimization as well as maximum likelihood-on data collected with adaptive algorithms, including (contextual) bandit algorithms. Specifically, we show that M-estimators, modified with particular adaptive weights, can be used to construct asymptotically valid confidence regions for a variety of inferential targets.

Identifiers

PMID35757490
PMCPMC9232184

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.