ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2022
Mortality burden attributable to high and low ambient temperatures in China and its provinces: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.
Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.
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Who cites it
31 citing papers in PubMed.
- The dividend period of climate change-related mortality in China is coming to an end.Fundamental research · 2026Article
- Impact of Climate Warming on All-Causes Mortality in China: The Role of Non-Optimal Temperature Exposure and Multi-Scenario Projections to 2050.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Diurnal temperature range and daily mean temperature in relation to multimorbidity among middle-aged or older Chinese adults: insights from the CHARLS.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Nighttime Cold Stress and Cardiovascular Emergency Hospitalizations: A Time-Series Analysis by Sex and Age in a Subtropical City.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2026Article
- Mortality risk associated with heatwave exposure based on daily maximum, minimum, and combined temperature thresholds.European journal of public health · 2026Article
- Summer Temperature Exposure and Blood Metabolomics in Young Adults: A Cross-Sectional Study in Shandong, China.Environment & health (Washington, D.C.) · 2026Article
- Association between long-term extreme high temperature and mortality: a 9-million prospective cohort study.BMC medicine · 2026Article
- Combined effects of apparent low temperature and PMFrontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Multidimensional Mechanisms of Hypertension and Advances in Diagnosis and Integrated TCM-Based Treatment: A Review.International journal of general medicine · 2026Review
- Global, regional and national epidemiology of myocarditis: health inequalities, risk factors and forecasted burden based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.Heart (British Cardiac Society) · 2025Article
- Estimating the effects of temperature on mortality and hospitalisations under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios in the short- and long-term by region in Chile: a population-based, modelling study.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2025Article
- Burden of mortality attributable to diurnal temperature range in Thailand: a nationwide case-crossover analysis from 2007 to 2021.Tropical medicine and health · 2025Article
- Projections of Heat-Related Mortality in Chinese Cities: The Roles of Climate Change, Urbanization, Socioeconomic Adaptation, and Landscape-Level Strategies.Environmental health perspectives · 2025Article
- Global, regional, and national burden of older adult atopic dermatitis in 204 countries and territories worldwide.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Differentiating the impact of ambient temperature on hospitalization due to cause-specific pneumonias: an individual-level, case-crossover study.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Associations between apparent temperatures and emergency ambulance calls in Wuxi, China: a time series analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Diverging trends in the global burden of ischemic heart disease attributable to non-optimal temperatures: a historical analysis (1990-2021) and 2050 projections.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Culprit lesion characteristics and prognosis in STEMI with cold onset: an OCT study.NPJ cardiovascular health · 2024Article
- Impact of Ambient Temperature on Mortality Burden and Spatial Heterogeneity in 16 Prefecture-Level Cities of a Low-Latitude Plateau Area in Yunnan Province: Time-Series Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Risk factors associated with heatwave mortality in Chinese adults over 65 years.Nature medicine · 2024Article
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15 authors.
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Abstract
Background: Non-optimal temperatures are associated with mortality risk, yet the heterogeneity of temperature-attributable mortality burden across subnational regions in a country was rarely investigated. We estimated the mortality burden related to non-optimal temperatures across all provinces in China in 2019. Methods: The global daily temperature data were obtained from the ERA5 reanalysis dataset. The daily mortality data and exposure-response curves between daily temperature and mortality for 176 individual causes of death were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). We estimated the population attributable fraction (PAF) based on the exposure-response curves, daily gridded temperature, and population. We calculated the cause- and province-specific mortality burden based on PAF and disease burden data from the GBD 2019. Findings: We estimated that 593·9 (95% UI:498·8, 704·6) thousand deaths were attributable to non-optimal temperatures in China in 2019 (PAF=5·58% [4·93%, 6·28%]), with 580·8 (485·7, 690·1) thousand cold-related deaths and 13·9 (7·7, 23·2) thousand heat-related deaths. The majority of temperature-related deaths were from cardiovascular diseases (399·7 [322·8, 490·4] thousand) and chronic respiratory diseases (177·4 [141·4, 222·3] thousand). The mortality burdens were observed significantly spatial heterogeneity for both high and low temperatures. For instance, the age-standardized death rates (per 100 000) attributable to low temperature were higher in Western China, with the highest in Tibet (113·7 [82·0, 155·5]), while for high temperature, they were greater in Xinjiang (1·8 [0·7, 3·3]) and Central-Southern China such as Hainan (2·5 [0·9, 5·4]). We also observed considerable geographical variation in the temperature-related mortality burden by causes of death at provincial level. Interpretation: A substantial mortality burden was attributable to non-optimal temperatures across China, and cold effects dominated the total mortality burden in all provinces. Both cold- and heat-related mortality burden showed significantly spatial variations across China. Funding: National Key Research and Development Program.
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