Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35755847›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in cellular and infection microbiology2022

Automated Machine Learning for the Early Prediction of the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis in Hospitals.

Minyue Yin, Rufa Zhang, Zhirun Zhou, Lu Liu, Jingwen Gao, Wei Xu, Chenyan Yu, Jiaxi Lin, Xiaolin Liu, Chunfang Xu and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  5. Acute pancreatitis: mechanisms and therapeutic approaches.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Minyue YinDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Rufa ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Changshu No. 1 Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Zhirun ZhouDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Lu LiuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Jingwen GaoDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Wei XuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Chenyan YuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Jiaxi LinDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Xiaolin LiuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Chunfang XuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Jinzhou ZhuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Machine learning (ML) algorithms are widely applied in building models of medicine due to their powerful studying and generalizing ability. This study aims to explore different ML models for early identification of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) among patients hospitalized for acute pancreatitis. Methods: This retrospective study enrolled patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) from multiple centers. Data from the First Affiliated Hospital and Changshu No. 1 Hospital of Soochow University were adopted for training and internal validation, and data from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University were adopted for external validation from January 2017 to December 2021. The diagnosis of AP and SAP was based on the 2012 revised Atlanta classification of acute pancreatitis. Models were built using traditional logistic regression (LR) and automated machine learning (AutoML) analysis with five types of algorithms. The performance of models was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the calibration curve, and the decision curve analysis (DCA) based on LR and feature importance, SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) Plot, and Local Interpretable Model Agnostic Explanation (LIME) based on AutoML. Results: A total of 1,012 patients were included in this study to develop the AutoML models in the training/validation dataset. An independent dataset of 212 patients was used to test the models. The model developed by the gradient boost machine (GBM) outperformed other models with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.937 in the validation set and an AUC of 0.945 in the test set. Furthermore, the GBM model achieved the highest sensitivity value of 0.583 among these AutoML models. The model developed by eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) achieved the highest specificity value of 0.980 and the highest accuracy of 0.958 in the test set. Conclusions: The AutoML model based on the GBM algorithm for early prediction of SAP showed evident clinical practicability.

Indexed as

PancreatitisAcute DiseaseHospitalsHumansMachine LearningRetrospective Studiesartificial intelligenceautomated machine learninglogistic regression analysispredictive modelssevere acute pancreatitis

Identifiers

PMID35755847
PMCPMC9226483

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.