Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35752568›Full record

ArticlePancreatology : official journal of the International Association of Pancreatology (IAP) ... [et al.]2022

Genetic testing to guide screening for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: Results of a microsimulation model.

Mary Linton B Peters, Andrew Eckel, Anna Lietz, Claudia Seguin, Peter Mueller, Chin Hur, Pari V Pandharipande

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pancreatology : official journal of the International Association of Pancreatology (IAP) ... [et al.], 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 47% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Mary Linton B PetersDivision of Medical Oncology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, USA. Electronic address: mbpeters@bidmc.harvard.edu.
Andrew EckelInstitute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA.
Anna LietzInstitute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA.
Claudia SeguinInstitute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA.
Peter MuellerInstitute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA.
Chin HurDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Current Affiliation: Division of Gastroenterology, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, USA.
Pari V PandharipandeInstitute for Technology Assessment and Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA.
Massachusetts General Hospital · USBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center · USColumbia College · CAInstitute of Technology Assessment · AT

Funding

The Organoid and Cell Culture CoreP30DK132710 · NIDDK · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Robert F. Schwabe · 2022 to 2026
$7.2M
Precision Management of Cystic Precursors to Pancreatic CancerR01CA237133 · NCI · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI PANDHARIPANDE, PARI VIJAY · 2019 to 2024
$2.2M
Cost Effectiveness of Germline Genetic Testing in Pancreatic CancerK08CA248473 · NCI · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI PETERS, MARY LINTON B · 2020 to 2024
$1.3M
NCI NIH HHS K08 CA248473NCI NIH HHS R01 CA237133NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK132710
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFirst-degree relatives (FDRs) of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) have elevated PDAC risk, partially due to germline genetic variants. We evaluated the potential effectiveness of genetic testing to target MRI-based screening among FDRs.

methodsWe used a microsimulation model of PDAC, calibrated to Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data, to estimate the potential life expectancy (LE) gain of screening for each of the following groups of FDRs: individuals who test positive for each of eight variants associated with elevated PDAC risk (e.g., BRCA2, CDKN2A); individuals who test negative; and individuals who do not test. Screening was assumed to take place if LE gains were achievable. We simulated multiple screening approaches, defined by starting age and frequency. Sensitivity analysis evaluated changes in results given varying model assumptions.

resultsFor women, 92% of mutation carriers had projected LE gains from screening for PDAC, if screening strategies (start age, frequency) were optimized. Among carriers, LE gains ranged from 0.1 days (ATM+ women screened once at age 70) to 510 days (STK11+ women screened annually from age 40). For men, LE gains were projected for all mutation carriers, ranging from 0.2 days (BRCA1+ men screened once at age 70) to 620 days (STK11+ men screened annually from age 40). For men and women who did not undergo genetic testing, or for whom testing showed no variant, screening yielded small LE benefit (0-2.1 days).

conclusionsGenetic testing of FDRs can inform targeted PDAC screening by identifying which FDRs may benefit.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Pancreatic DuctalPancreatic NeoplasmsAdultAgedFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenetic TestingHeterozygoteHumansMaleCancer screeningGenetic testingPancreatic cancerSimulation modeling

Identifiers

PMID35752568
PMCPMC9474673
OpenAlexW4281695779

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.