ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2022
Injury and Poisoning Mortality Trends in Urban and Rural China from 2006 to 2020 Based on Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Sociodemographic characteristics of suicide attempters treated in the emergency department and the effect of psychological care.World journal of psychiatry · 2026Article
- Long-term trends in injury-related mortality among children and adolescents: a 32-year study in a central urban district of Shanghai, 1993-2024.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Trends in emergency department visits for acute intoxication: a 3-year retrospective study in Hangzhou, East China.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Mortality of acute poisoning and its predictors in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Changing Patterns of Injury Mortality Among the Elderly Population in Urban and Rural Areas - China, 1987-2021.China CDC weekly · 2023Article
- Trends in Cause-Specific Injury Mortality in China in 2005-2019: Longitudinal Observational Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2023Observational
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Abstract
Injury and poisoning, common public health problems, currently rank fifth among the causes of death in China. In this study, we aimed to analyze the trends and influencing factors of injury and poisoning mortality in urban and rural China using an age-period-cohort model. Crude mortality data for injury and poisoning by sex, age group, and region were obtained from the China Health Statistical Yearbook (2006-2020). Age-standardized mortality rates for injury and poisoning in urban and rural areas were estimated using the Seventh Census of China 2020 population. The trends of injury and poisoning mortality were assessed using Joinpoint analysis. Age-period-cohort models were used to explore the age, period, and birth cohort effects affecting mortality risk. Over a 15-year period, age-standardized mortality rates decreased from 28.81/100,000 in 2006 to 24.78/100,000 in 2020 in urban areas and from 45.49/100,000 to 44.39/100,000 in rural areas. In the male population, the annual change in mortality was -0.4% (95% CI = -1.8%, 1.0%) in urban areas and -1.0% (95% CI = -1.9%, 0.0%) in rural areas. In the female population, the annual change in mortality was -1.2% (95% CI = -2.3%, -0.1%) in urban areas compared with -1.6% (95% CI = -3.1%, -0.1%) in rural areas. The age-period-cohort model showed a significant increase in urban and rural mortality rates starting at ages 49 and 39 years. Both showed a decline followed by an increase in the period. The cohort from 1929 to 2013 showed an overall trend of increasing and then decreasing. From 2006 to 2020, the overall injury and poisoning mortality rates in China showed a decreasing trend, and the mortality rates decreased faster in women than in men and in rural areas than in urban areas. Age effects were the most important risk factors for changes in injury and poisoning mortality. The results of this study will help researchers explore the possible causes of mortality changes in urban and rural areas and provide a scientific basis for injury and poisoning prevention and control priorities and policy formulation in China.
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