Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35733273›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2022

Projected climate change impact on a coastal sea-As significant as all current pressures combined.

Iréne Wåhlström, Linus Hammar, Duncan Hume, Jonas Pålsson, Elin Almroth-Rosell, Christian Dieterich, Lars Arneborg, Matthias Gröger, Martin Mattsson, Lovisa Zillén Snowball and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Iréne WåhlströmResearch Department, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-8735-268X
Linus HammarOctopus Ink Research & Analysis, Lysekil, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-6823-8504
Duncan HumeGeological Survey of Sweden, Uppsala, Sweden.
Jonas PålssonKelonia AB, Göteborg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-3134-4602
Elin Almroth-RosellResearch Department, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4052-045X
Christian DieterichResearch Department, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.
Lars ArneborgResearch Department, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.
Matthias GrögerResearch Department, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-9927-5164
Martin MattssonMountainlake, Göteborg, Sweden.
Lovisa Zillén SnowballGeological Survey of Sweden, Uppsala, Sweden.
Gustav KågestenGeological Survey of Sweden, Uppsala, Sweden.
Oscar TörnqvistGeological Survey of Sweden, Uppsala, Sweden.
Emilie BreviereResearch Department, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.
Sandra-Esther BrunnabendResearch Department, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-7837-5820
Per R JonssonDepartment of Marine Sciences, Tjärnö Marine Laboratory, University of Gothenburg, Strömstad, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-1793-5473

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change influences the ocean's physical and biogeochemical conditions, causing additional pressures on marine environments and ecosystems, now and in the future. Such changes occur in environments that already today suffer under pressures from, for example, eutrophication, pollution, shipping, and more. We demonstrate how to implement climate change into regional marine spatial planning by introducing data of future temperature, salinity, and sea ice cover from regional ocean climate model projections to an existing cumulative impact model. This makes it possible to assess climate change impact in relation to pre-existing cumulative impact from current human activities. Results indicate that end-of-century projected climate change alone is a threat of the same magnitude as the combination of all current pressures to the marine environment. These findings give marine planners and policymakers forewarning on how future climate change may impact marine ecosystems, across space, emission scenarios, and in relation to other pressures.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEcosystemEutrophicationHumansOceans and SeasSalinityTemperatureBaltic Seaclimate changecumulative effectsDelphi methodecosystem-based managementmarine spatial planningmultiple stressorsSymphony

Identifiers

PMID35733273
PMCPMC9541661

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.